Results: West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Results: West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
As you might know, West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. (NYSE:WST) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong numbers. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of US$747m, some 5.3% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at US$1.85, 27% ahead of expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
正如您所知,West Pharmaceutical Services股份有限公司(NYSE:WST)剛剛公佈了其最新季度業績,數字表現非常強勁。公司超出預測,營業收入爲7,4700萬美元,比預期高出5.3%,每股收益爲1.85美元,比預期高出27%。分析師通常會在每份業績後更新他們的預測,我們可以根據他們的估算來判斷公司的情況是否改變,或者是否有任何需要注意的新問題。我們收集了最新的官方預測,以查看分析師是否已經根據這些結果改變了他們的盈利模型。
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from West Pharmaceutical Services' ten analysts is for revenues of US$3.06b in 2025. This would reflect an okay 6.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 8.5% to US$7.49. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.07b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$7.74 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.
考慮到最新的結果,West Pharmaceutical Services的十位分析師目前普遍預計2025年的營業收入爲30.6億美元。這將反映過去12個月收入的良好6.5%增長。預計每股收益將上升8.5%,達到7.49美元。然而,在最新業績公佈前,分析師預期2025年的營業收入爲30.7億美元,每股收益爲7.74美元。因此,看起來最近的結果後總體情緒有所下降 - 收入預測並沒有發生重大變化,但分析師的每股收益預測的確有所減少。
Althoughthe analysts have revised their earnings forecasts for next year, they've also lifted the consensus price target 5.5% to US$361, suggesting the revised estimates are not indicative of a weaker long-term future for the business. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic West Pharmaceutical Services analyst has a price target of US$470 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$265. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
儘管分析師已修訂下一年的盈利預測,但他們也將一致看法的目標價提高了5.5%,達到361美元,表明修訂的預測並不暗示企業未來長期表現不佳。然而,從這些數據中我們還可以得出另一個結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師目標價時也喜歡考慮估算範圍。最樂觀的West Pharmaceutical Services分析師將目標價設定爲每股470美元,而最悲觀的則爲265美元。正如您所看到的,分析師對股票的未來看法並不都一致,但估算範圍仍然相當狹窄,這可能表明結果並不完全不可預測。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that West Pharmaceutical Services' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 5.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 9.8% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.5% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than West Pharmaceutical Services.
當然,觀察這些預測的另一種方式是將它們放入行業本身的背景之中。相當明顯的是,人們預計西製藥服務公司的營業收入增長將大幅放緩,到2025年底預計以年均增長5.2%的速度增長。與過去五年9.8%的歷史增長率相比,這要低很多。相比之下,覆蓋分析師的該行業其他公司預計每年將實現6.5%的營收增長。因此,明顯可見,雖然營收增長預計放緩,但整個行業也預計增速將快於西製藥服務公司。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for West Pharmaceutical Services. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
最大的擔憂在於分析師降低了他們的每股收益預測,表明西製藥服務公司可能面臨業務阻力。好消息是,營收預測沒有發生重大變化;儘管預測表明它們的表現將不如整個行業。此外,股價目標也出現了驚人的增長,分析師明顯認爲企業的內在價值正在提高。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for West Pharmaceutical Services going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
繼上述思路後,我們認爲企業的長期前景比明年的盈利更爲重要。我們對西製藥服務公司截至2026年的預測,並您可在我們的平台上免費查閱。
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
另一件需要考慮的事情是管理層和董事最近是否在買賣股票。在我們的平台上,您可以查看過去12個月所有公開市場股票交易的概述。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。