Earnings Miss: Juewei Food Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Earnings Miss: Juewei Food Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
As you might know, Juewei Food Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603517) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥1.7b, statutory earnings missed forecasts by 18%, coming in at just CN¥0.23 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
正如你可能知道的那樣,覺偉食品股份有限公司(SHSE:603517)上週發佈了其最新季度報告,對股東來說並不那麼好。整體上並不是一個好的結果-儘管營業收入略低於分析師預期的17億人民幣,但法定收益低於預期18%,僅爲每股0.23人民幣。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以根據他們的估計來判斷他們對公司的看法是否改變,或者是否有任何需要注意的新問題。因此,我們收集了最新的收益後預測,以查看估計暗示着明年將會發生什麼。
Following the latest results, Juewei Food's 14 analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥7.72b in 2025. This would be a solid 16% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 86% to CN¥1.20. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥7.76b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.22 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
根據最新的結果,覺偉食品的14位分析師現在預測2025年的營業收入爲77.2億人民幣。這相比過去12個月將是16%的穩固增長。法定每股收益預計將增長86%,達到1.20人民幣。在此收益報告之前,分析師一直在預測2025年的營業收入爲77.6億人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲1.22人民幣。共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到任何會改變他們對該業務的看法的東西,因爲他們的預測沒有發生重大變化。
It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥16.89. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Juewei Food, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥29.40 and the most bearish at CN¥10.00 per share. So we wouldn't be assigning too much credibility to analyst price targets in this case, because there are clearly some widely different views on what kind of performance this business can generate. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
因此,毫不意外地,共識價格目標基本上保持在16.89人民幣。然而,我們從這些數據中還可以得出其他結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師的價格目標時也喜歡考慮估計的差異。對於覺偉食品存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其價值定爲29.40人民幣,而最看淡的則爲10.00人民幣每股。因此,在這種情況下,我們不會過分信任分析師的價格目標,因爲在這種業績可能帶來的不同看法方面顯然存在一些廣泛差異。鑑此,我們不會過分依賴共識價格目標,因爲這只是一個平均值,分析師對該業務顯然存在一些深刻分歧。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Juewei Food's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 7.6% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Juewei Food is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
我們可以從更宏觀的角度來看待這些預測,比如預測與過往表現的對比,以及預測相對於行業其他公司是否更看好。從最新的預測來看,覺唯食品的增長速度有望明顯加快,預計到2025年底,年複合營業收入增長率爲13%,明顯快於過去五年7.6%的歷史增速。行業其他類似公司(有分析師覆蓋)也預計每年增長11%的營業收入。考慮到預測的營收加速,顯然覺唯食品預計增速大致與整個行業相當。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥16.89, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最重要的是,情緒並沒有發生重大改變,分析師重新確認業務的表現與他們先前的每股收益預期一致。令人高興的是,營收預測沒有實質性變化,業務仍預計與整個行業增長保持一致。共識價位目標保持在16.89元,最新預測對其價位目標沒有影響。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Juewei Food analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
延續這種思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的盈利更爲重要。我們有多位覺唯食品分析師的估值延伸至2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Juewei Food .
此外,您還應該了解我們在覺唯食品發現的1個警示信號。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
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