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Earnings Report: Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co.,Ltd. Missed Revenue Estimates By 17%

Earnings Report: Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co.,Ltd. Missed Revenue Estimates By 17%

盈利報告:中福申瑛碳纖維有限公司營業收入低於預期17%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/27 08:23

Investors in Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688295) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.7% to close at CN¥22.18 following the release of its third-quarter results. Revenues were CN¥380m, 17% below analyst expectations, although losses didn't appear to worsen significantly, with a per-share statutory loss of CN¥0.35 being in line with what the analysts forecast. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

中福申英碳纖維股份有限公司(SHSE:688295)的投資者度過了美好的一週,股價上漲了3.7%,收於22.18元人民幣,這是第三季度成績公佈後的結果。營業收入爲38000萬人民幣,比分析師的預期低了17%,儘管損失似乎並未顯著加劇,每股虧損爲0.35元人民幣,與分析師的預測保持一致。對於投資者來說,現在是一個重要的時刻,他們可以通過公司的報告追蹤公司的業績,看看專家們對明年的預測是什麼,以及業務的預期是否有任何變化。考慮到這一點,我們彙集了最新的法定預測,看看分析師對明年有什麼期待。

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SHSE:688295 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2024
SHSE:688295 2024年10月27日收益和營業收入增長

After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd are now predicting revenues of CN¥2.63b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a major 49% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 1,933% to CN¥0.37. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥2.64b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.35 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd's earnings potential following these results.

在最新的結果公佈後,現有9名分析師對中福申英碳纖維有限公司預測2025年的營收將達到26.3億人民幣。如果實現,這將反映出與過去12個月相比營業收入大幅增長49%。法定每股收益預計將增長1933%,達到0.37人民幣。然而,在最新收益公佈之前,分析師曾預期2025年的營收爲26.4億人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.35人民幣。因此,似乎輿論對中福申英碳纖維有限公司的盈利潛力更爲樂觀。

The consensus price target was unchanged at CN¥28.18, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd analyst has a price target of CN¥40.98 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥20.01. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how analysts think this business will perform. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

共識價格目標保持在28.18人民幣,這意味着改善的盈利前景不會對股東價值的長期創造產生影響。然而,從這些數據我們還可以得出另一個結論,一些投資者在評估分析師的價格目標時也喜歡考慮估計的差距。最樂觀的中福申英碳纖維分析師給出的目標價格是40.98人民幣每股,而最悲觀者則認爲是20.01人民幣。可以看到,估值範圍很大,最低估值不到最樂觀估值的一半,這表明分析師對這家企業的表現存在一些明顯分歧。因此,基於共識價格目標做決策可能不是一個好主意,畢竟這只是對這一廣泛估計範圍的平均值。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 37% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 23% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

另一種查看這些預測的方法是將其放在更大的背景下,比如預測與過去表現的對比以及預測與行業其他公司相比看好與否。分析師明顯預期中福神鷹碳纖維有限公司的增長將加速,預測到2025年底的37%年增長率與過去五年的23%年增長率相比表現出色。與同行業其他公司相比,這些公司預計每年營收增長15%。考慮到預測的營業收入加速增長,很明顯中福神鷹碳纖維有限公司預計將比行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd's earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

對我們來說最重要的一點是共識每股收益的升級,這表明對中福神鷹碳纖維有限公司明年收益潛力的情緒明顯改善。令人高興的是,營收預測沒有發生重大變化,業務仍預計增長速度將快於整個行業。共識價值目標沒有發生實質性變化,表明業務的內在價值在最新預測中未發生任何重大變化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

話雖這麼說,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年更重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們爲中福神鷹碳纖維有限公司2026年的所有分析師預測提供完整範圍,並您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd that we have uncovered.

在您進一步探索之前,您應該了解我們發現的中福神鷹碳纖維有限公司的2個警告信號。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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