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EVE Energy Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

EVE Energy Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

EVE 能源有限公司剛剛錯過了盈利-但分析師已經更新了他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  10/27 08:11

EVE Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300014) missed earnings with its latest third-quarter results, disappointing overly-optimistic forecasters. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥12b, statutory earnings missed forecasts by 17%, coming in at just CN¥0.52 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

EVE能源股份有限公司(SZSE:300014)在最新第三季度業績中錯過了盈利,令過度樂觀的預測師們大失所望。整體而言,這並不是一個很好的結果-儘管營業收入略低於分析師預期的人民幣120億,但法定盈利卻低於預測的17%,僅爲每股人民幣0.52。分析師通常會在每份盈利報告後更新他們的預測,我們可以根據他們的估算來判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者有沒有需要注意的新問題。因此,我們彙總了最新的盈利後預測,看看估算表明公司明年有什麼計劃。

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SZSE:300014 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2024
SZSE:300014 2024年10月27日盈利和營業收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from EVE Energy's 20 analysts is for revenues of CN¥65.9b in 2025. This would reflect a sizeable 39% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 50% to CN¥2.81. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥66.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.83 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考慮到最新的結果,EVE能源的20位分析師目前達成共識,預計2025年營業收入爲659億人民幣。這將反映其過去12個月營業收入的大幅增長39%。法定每股盈利預計將增長50%,達到人民幣2.81。在這份報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2025年的660億人民幣營業收入和每股盈利2.83人民幣。所以很明顯,儘管分析師已經更新了他們的預測,但在最新結果發佈後,對該公司的預期並沒有發生重大變化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥47.61, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values EVE Energy at CN¥67.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥30.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

對於營業收入或盈利預估以及47.61人民幣的目標價格沒有變化,這表明公司在最近的業績中達到了市場的預期。看一下分析師估值的區間也是值得注意的,以評估異常意見與平均值之間的差異。目前,最看好的分析師認爲EVE能源每股價值67.00人民幣,而最看淡的則爲30.00人民幣。注意到分析師目標價格存在很大差距嗎?這向我們暗示,該公司的基礎業務可能有相當廣泛的可能發展場景。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that EVE Energy's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 30% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 42% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 17% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that EVE Energy is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在來看一下更大的背景,我們可以理解這些預測的方法之一是查看它們與過去表現和行業增長預估相比如何。我們要強調的是,預計EVE能源的營業收入增長速度將放緩,到2025年底的預計30%年增長率遠低於過去五年的42%的歷史增長率。相比之下,其他受到分析師關注的行業公司預計年增長率爲17%。即使在預測的增長放緩之後,很明顯EVE能源也預計將比整個行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥47.61, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最明顯的結論是最近業務前景沒有發生重大變化,分析師們保持其盈利預測穩定,與先前的預估一致。令人高興的是,營業收入預測沒有發生重大變化,業務仍預計增長速度將快於整個行業板塊。共識價格目標保持在47.61人民幣,最新的估值不足以對其價格目標產生影響。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for EVE Energy going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

繼續這一思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的盈利更加相關。我們對EVE Energy的預測延伸至2026年,您可以在我們的平台免費查看。

You still need to take note of risks, for example - EVE Energy has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

您仍需注意風險,例如 - EVE Energy有3個警示信號(以及一個讓我們有點不舒服的),我們認爲您應該知道。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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