Health Check: How Prudently Does Bilibili (NASDAQ:BILI) Use Debt?
Health Check: How Prudently Does Bilibili (NASDAQ:BILI) Use Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,與其擔心股價波動,不如擔心永久性損失的可能性... 我認識的每一位實際投資者都擔心這個。 當你評估風險時,考慮一家公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務往往涉及當一家企業倒閉時。 重要的是,嗶哩嗶哩股份有限公司(納斯達克:BILI)確實持有債務。 但真正的問題是這些債務是否使公司風險加大。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之中。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是公司必須以跳樓價發行股票,永久性稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,債務可以是企業尤其是資本重的企業的重要工具。考慮一家公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務視爲一體。
How Much Debt Does Bilibili Carry?
嗶哩嗶哩承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, Bilibili had CN¥4.85b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥7.81b a year prior. But it also has CN¥13.9b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥9.07b net cash.
正如下圖所示,嗶哩嗶哩在2024年6月的債務爲CN¥48.5億,比前一年的CN¥78.1億少。 但它也持有CN¥139億的現金來抵消這筆債務,意味着淨現金爲CN¥90.7億。
A Look At Bilibili's Liabilities
嗶哩嗶哩的負債情況
According to the last reported balance sheet, Bilibili had liabilities of CN¥17.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥580.6m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥13.9b and CN¥1.61b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.22b.
根據最近披露的資產負債表,嗶哩嗶哩的短期負債爲172億人民幣,超過12個月到期的負債爲58060萬人民幣。另一方面,其現金爲139億人民幣,應收賬款爲16.1億人民幣。因此,其負債超過現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和22.2億人民幣。
Given Bilibili has a market capitalization of CN¥59.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Bilibili also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bilibili's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
考慮到嗶哩嗶哩的市值爲590億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成較大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。雖然它有值得注意的負債,但嗶哩嗶哩的現金超過債務,因此我們相當自信它能夠安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表明顯是明智的起點。不過,未來的收入,遠比任何事情都將決定嗶哩嗶哩未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,您可以查看這份展示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
In the last year Bilibili wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.3%, to CN¥24b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
在過去一年,嗶哩嗶哩在EBIt層面上沒有盈利,但營業收入增長了7.3%,達到240億人民幣。這種增長速度有點慢,不符合我們的口味,但世界上各種類型的企業都是必需的。
So How Risky Is Bilibili?
嗶哩嗶哩有多大風險?
While Bilibili lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥2.0b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Bilibili that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然嗶哩嗶哩在息稅前利潤(EBIt)層面上虧損,但實際上產生了積極的自由現金流20億人民幣。因此,就表面價值而言,考慮到淨現金情況,我們認爲該股票近期風險不算太高。隨着收入增長乏善可陳,我們確實需要看到一些積極的EBIt才能對這家企業持樂觀態度。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了嗶哩嗶哩的1個警示信號,你在投資這裏之前應該了解。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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