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Is Perimeter Solutions (NYSE:PRM) A Risky Investment?

Is Perimeter Solutions (NYSE:PRM) A Risky Investment?

Perimeter Solutions (紐交所:PRM) 是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  10/21 22:50

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Perimeter Solutions, SA (NYSE:PRM) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性...每位務實的投資者都會關注這一點。' 當你考量一家公司的風險時,自然會關注其資產負債表,因爲債務往往與一家企業倒閉有關。我們可以看到Perimeter Solutions, SA(紐交所: PRM)確實在業務中使用了債務。但股東們是否應該擔心其使用債務?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會變成真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自己的現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以控制企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲債權人迫使他們以困境價格發行股票而永久稀釋股東。然而,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。當我們審查負債水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Perimeter Solutions's Debt?

什麼是Perimeter Solutions的債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Perimeter Solutions had US$777.8m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$43.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$734.6m.

下面的圖表,您可以點擊以查看更詳細信息,顯示了Perimeter Solutions在2024年6月有77780萬美元債務;與前一年差不多。然而,它確實有4320萬美元的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨債務約73460萬美元。

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NYSE:PRM Debt to Equity History October 21st 2024
紐交所:PRM債務資產比歷史 2024年10月21日

How Healthy Is Perimeter Solutions' Balance Sheet?

Perimeter Solutions的資產負債表健康狀況如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Perimeter Solutions had liabilities of US$81.9m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.16b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$43.2m and US$98.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.10b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新資產負債表數據顯示,Perimeter Solutions有8190萬美元的短期負債,11.6億美元后續到期的負債。另一方面,它有4320萬美元的現金和9850萬美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款總和多出11億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Perimeter Solutions has a market capitalization of US$1.96b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

雖然這可能看起來很多,但並不那麼糟糕,因爲Perimeter Solutions的市值爲19.6億美元,所以如果需要的話,它可能通過增加資本來加強其資產負債表。但我們確實希望密切關注其債務帶來的過大風險的跡象。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。

Weak interest cover of 0.69 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.8 hit our confidence in Perimeter Solutions like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Perimeter Solutions saw its EBIT tank 80% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Perimeter Solutions can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

0.69倍的利益覆蓋倍數和7.8的高淨債務與EBITDA比率讓我們對Perimeter Solutions的信心受到沉重打擊。這裏的債務負擔相當大。更糟糕的是,過去12個月裏,Perimeter Solutions看到其EBIT下滑80%。如果收入繼續這樣下滑,償還債務將比說服我們在雨中跑馬拉松更難。分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定Perimeter Solutions是否能夠隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Perimeter Solutions recorded free cash flow of 23% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,雖然稅務部門可能崇拜會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是查看EBIT中可以實際匹配的自由現金流比例。回顧過去兩年,Perimeter Solutions錄得的自由現金流量佔其EBIT的23%,這比我們預期的要弱。在償還債務方面,這並不樂觀。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Perimeter Solutions's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also fails to instill confidence. We're quite clear that we consider Perimeter Solutions to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. Given our concerns about Perimeter Solutions's debt levels, it seems only prudent to check if insiders have been ditching the stock.

坦白地說,Perimeter Solutions的利息支付覆蓋率以及其EBIt的發展紀錄使我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。此外,其將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流的能力也未能讓人信心倍增。我們非常清楚地認爲,考慮到Perimeter Solutions的資產負債表狀況,我們認爲其風險相當大。因此,我們對該股持謹慎態度,認爲股東應該密切關注其流動性。考慮到我們對Perimeter Solutions的債務水平的擔憂,檢查一下內部人員是否一直在拋售該股似乎是明智之舉。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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