Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 383% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may consider Ocular Therapeutix as a stock not worth researching with its 29.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Ocular Therapeutix's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times haven't been great for Ocular Therapeutix as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ocular Therapeutix will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Ocular Therapeutix's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 89% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 27% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 18% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Ocular Therapeutix's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Ocular Therapeutix's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look into Ocular Therapeutix shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Having said that, be aware Ocular Therapeutix is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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