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Minority Shareholders Should Reject The Low Offer For LPI Capital

Minority Shareholders Should Reject The Low Offer For LPI Capital

少數股東應拒絕對LPI Capital的低價收購要約
Business Today ·  10/13 11:37

The proposed acqusition for the collectively 44.2% stake at RM1.72b or RM9.80/share of LPI Capital Berhad by Public Bank Berhad (PBBank) entails a valuation of 1.7x FY23 PBV, a discount from its recent closing valuation of 2.3x PBV and our applied 2.6x PBV for LPI.

大衆銀行有限公司(PBBank)擬收購LPI Capital Berhad共計44.2%的股份,即每股LPI Capital Berhad的17.2令吉或每股9.80令吉,其估值爲23財年PBV的1.7倍,較其最近的收盤估值2.3倍PBV和我們應用的LPI PBV的2.6倍PBV有所折扣。

Given the steep discount, analysts do not believe the Management Buyout to minority shareholders will be accepted. Otherwise, the total cash consideration for the entire 100%-stake would amount to RM3.89b. This proposal will require PBBANK's shareholder's appoval which is viewed as highly likely to be accepted on the steep 25% discount, and an thus EPS accretive deal. Based on LPI's FY23 earnings of RM313.4m, it looks to accrete additional earnings to PBBANK by c.4%. PBBANK has stated that it intends to keep LPI's listing status.

鑑於大幅折扣,分析師認爲對少數股東的管理層收購不會被接受。否則,全部100%股份的總現金對價將達到38.9令吉。該提案將需要PBBANK股東的批准,該批准被認爲極有可能獲得25%的大幅折扣,因此是一筆可增加每股收益的協議。根據LPI的23財年收益31340萬令吉,它有望爲PBBank增加約4%的額外收益。興業銀行表示,它打算保持LPI的上市地位。

According to PBBANK, the impact to the group's CET-1 ratio post acquisition is -20 bps (2QFY24: 14.5% after dividends) and
hence is not expected to affect the group's ability to pay dividends, being well above the group's aspired minimum of 13.0%, of
which they intend to gradually improve their payout to be closer to 60%.

根據PBBank的數據,收購後對該集團CET-1比率的影響爲-20個點子(2QFY24:分紅後爲14.5%),
因此,預計不會影響該集團的股息支付能力,遠高於該集團期望的最低13.0%
他們打算逐步將其支出提高到接近 60%。

Building a stronger insurance unit. Prior to the proposed acquisition, LPI still benefitted as an affliate to PBBANK via their
mutual parent holding company, The Estate, whereby c.25% of LPI's business is said to be direct referrals from PBBANK.
Through the proposed acquisition, LPI is expected to be able to more directly tap into PBBANK's ecosystem via sharing of
branch networks and sales personnel to promote its general insurance products.

建立一個更強大的保險單位。在擬議的收購之前,LPI仍通過其作爲PBBank的附屬公司從中受益
共同的母控股公司The Estate,據說LPI約有25%的業務是由PBBank直接推薦的。
通過擬議的收購,預計LPI將能夠通過共享更直接地進入PBBANK的生態系統
分支機構網絡和銷售人員來推廣其一般保險產品。

Meanwhile, the acquisition would enable PBBANK to more immediately serve a full suit of financial products towards a "Universal Banking Model". LPI is presently positioned 7th amongst Malaysia's general insurers in terms of gross direct premium. Amid the synergistic gains expected from the above, we expect LPI to benefit more from the merger into the PBBANK group, as it now has a strong financial backstop against any unforeseen and material operating risks to itself. In regards to equity, LPI's 2QFY24 reported at RM2.24b while PBBANK's stood at RM56.3b.

同時,此次收購將使PBBank能夠更直接地向 「通用銀行模式」 提供全套金融產品。就直接保費總額而言,LPI目前在馬來西亞的普通保險公司中排名第七。在上述預期將帶來協同增效的同時,我們預計LPI將從併入PBBank集團中受益更多,因爲PBBank集團現在擁有強大的財務支持,可以抵禦任何不可預見的重大運營風險。在股票方面,LPI的 2QFY24 報告爲22.4令吉,而PBBANK的報價爲563令吉。

Grandfather Rule overhang addressed. The Estate's stance to dispose of its 23.4% stake in PBBANK to 10.0% over five
years via a restricted offer for sale (ROFS). More details are expected to emerge in the future on the ROFS, including allocation
methodology for the portion of shares distributed to employees, directors and eligible shareholders of the group at a discount.

祖父規則懸而未決的問題已得到解決。該莊園的立場是出售其在PBBank的23.4%的股份,至10.0%
通過限制性銷售報價 (ROFS) 多年。預計未來將公佈有關ROFS的更多細節,包括分配
以折扣價向集團員工、董事和合格股東分配股份部分的方法。

All told, the ROFS provides resolution pathyway vis-à-vis the rule that no individual share hold more than 10% of a bank per the Financial Services Act, which was grandfathered to the late founder, but had lacked clarity since his passing. The move will
unlock an overhang of 2.60b PBBANK shares (RM11.89b based on a last price of RM4.57). While this translates to an average
disposal of 40.0m PBBANK shares per month over sixty months, it may not be a major concern to existing market participation
as analysts at Kenanga Investment Bank gather that the monthly average traded volume for PBBANK shares tracks at c.310m shares over the last five years.

總而言之,根據《金融服務法》,《金融服務法》規定,個人股份持有銀行股份不得超過10%,這條規定提供了解決問題的途徑。該法案是已故創始人的祖父,但自他去世以來一直缺乏明確性。此舉將
解鎖26股PBank股票(按最新價格4.57令吉計算,118.9令吉)。雖然這轉化爲平均值
在六十個月內每月出售4000萬股PBank股票,這可能不是現有市場參與者的主要問題
肯南加投資銀行的分析師認爲,在過去五年中,PBBank股票的月平均交易量約爲31000萬股。

Between the other Malaysian banks, principal shareholders which own more than 10% stake in both AMBANK and HLBANK also enjoy the Grandfathering Rule given their shares were accumulated before the FSA came into being; their respective principal shareholders controlling 11.83% and 64.51% in total shares, have also enjoyed exemption from the shareholding threshold of 10% under the grandfather rules. While analysyys do not believe they would necessarily follow PBBANK's precedent in managing its shareholdings,they could establish that financial institutions do uphold regulations as required

在其他馬來西亞銀行之間,持有AmBank和HLBank超過10%股份的主要股東也享有祖父規則,因爲他們的股份是在金融服務管理局成立之前累積的;根據祖父規則,他們各自控制總股份的11.83%和64.51%的主要股東也享有10%的持股門檻豁免。儘管分析師認爲他們不一定會遵循PBBANK管理其股權的先例,但他們可以確定金融機構確實按要求遵守了監管

Kenanga is maintaining its OUTPERFORM call and TP of RM5.10 for PBBANK, the bank remains as one of 4QCY24 Top Picks and
continue to like the bank for its leading asset quality position which we believe will be well sought after during high loans growth periods as a means to minimise exposure to asset quality leakages.

Kenanga維持PBBank的跑贏大盤看漲期權和5.10令吉的目標價,該銀行仍是 4QCY24 的首選之一,
繼續喜歡該銀行的領先資產質量地位,我們認爲該銀行在高貸款增長時期將受到追捧,這是最大限度地減少資產質量泄露風險的一種手段。

As For LPI the target call is OUTPERFORM and TP of RM15.00 which represents a 25% premium based on better net margins of 17% (vs peer's 11%), and (ii) higher dividend returns of 6%-7% (vs peer's 4%-5%).

至於LPI,目標看漲期權爲跑贏大盤,目標價爲15.00令吉,溢價25%,這是基於淨利潤率提高的17%(同行爲11%),以及(ii)更高的股息回報率爲6%-7%(同行爲4%-5%)。

The house however does recommend for minority shareholders to REJECT THE OFFER on the RM9.80 MGO by PBBANK

但是,衆議院確實建議少數股東拒絕PBBANK對9.80令吉MGO的報價

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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