Tesla CEO Elon Musk Defends His Time-Based Predictions Amidst Delays: 'Very Rare That A Prediction I Make Does Not Come True Over Time'
Tesla CEO Elon Musk Defends His Time-Based Predictions Amidst Delays: 'Very Rare That A Prediction I Make Does Not Come True Over Time'
"The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I'm always late," he said.Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), defended his time-based predictions, highlighting that his forecasts are often realized, albeit not always on schedule.
特斯拉公司（納斯達克股票代碼：TSLA）首席執行官埃隆·馬斯克爲其基於時間的預測辯護，強調他的預測往往會實現，儘管並非總是按計劃進行。
What Happened: Musk took to X to explain his approach to time-based predictions. He stated that he typically targets the 50% percentile date, meaning half his predictions will be late, and half will be early.
發生了什麼：馬斯克前往 X 解釋了他進行基於時間的預測的方法。他表示，他的目標通常是50％的百分位數，這意味着他一半的預測會延遲，一半的預測會提前。
Musk expressed frustration that the media tends to focus on late predictions, creating a perception that he is consistently behind schedule.
馬斯克對媒體傾向於關注較晚的預測表示沮喪，這使人們認爲他一直落後於計劃。
"The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I'm always late," he said.
他說：「媒體從來沒有提及過早的預測，所以看來我總是遲到。」
"It is very rare that a prediction I make does not come true over time."
「隨着時間的推移，我的預測不成真的情況非常罕見。」
For my time-based predictions, I generally aim for the 50% percentile date, which means that half my predictions will be late and half will be early. The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I'm always late.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 12, 2024
However, it is very rare that a...
對於基於時間的預測，我通常以 50% 的百分位數爲目標，這意味着我一半的預測會延遲，一半的預測會提前。媒體從來沒有提及過早的預測，所以看來我總是遲到。
— 埃隆·馬斯克 (@elonmusk) 2024 年 10 月 12 日
但是，這種情況非常罕見...
Why It Matters: Musk's post comes in the wake of several recent delays at Tesla. In August, the company announced a delay in the rollout of its full self-driving (FSD) driver assistance technology for its Cybertruck vehicles, originally scheduled by Musk for an earlier date.
爲何重要：馬斯克的帖子是在特斯拉最近幾次延誤之後發表的。8月，該公司宣佈推遲爲其Cybertruck車輛推出全自動駕駛（FSD）駕駛輔助技術，該技術原定由馬斯克提前推出。
In July, Musk confirmed a delay in Tesla's robotaxi unveiling due to design changes. In June, Musk announced that a refreshed Model Y would not be launched this year, contrary to expectations.
7月，馬斯克證實，由於設計變更，特斯拉推遲了機器人出租車的發佈。6月，馬斯克宣佈，與預期相反，今年不會推出更新的Model Y。
In April, Musk revealed that Tesla was in talks with a major automaker to license its FSD software, but deployment would take time.
4月，馬斯克透露，特斯拉正在與一家大型汽車製造商進行談判，以許可其FSD軟件，但部署需要時間。
However, as Musk points out, his predictions often come true eventually, as seen with the ongoing discussions for FSD licensing.
但是，正如馬斯克指出的那樣，他的預測往往最終會成真，從正在進行的FSD許可討論中可以看出。
Tesla's highly anticipated new Roadster has also been delayed multiple times, with Musk saying back in 2021 that the car would ship in 2023. However, that is yet to come to pass.
特斯拉備受期待的新款敞篷跑車也多次推遲，馬斯克早在2021年就表示該車將於2023年發貨。但是，這尚未實現。
Check out more of Benzinga's Future Of Mobility coverage by following this link.
點擊此鏈接，查看更多Benzinga的《未來出行》報道。
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
免責聲明：此內容部分是在人工智能工具的幫助下製作的，並由Benzinga的編輯審閱和發佈。
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock
照片來源：Shutterstock
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
