Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Levi Strauss' (NYSE:LEVI) Soft Earnings
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Levi Strauss' (NYSE:LEVI) Soft Earnings
Levi Strauss & Co.'s (NYSE:LEVI) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.
Levi Strauss公司(紐交所:LEVI)上週的收益公告並未令股東印象深刻。儘管利潤數字偏弱,但我們的分析師對損益表的總體質量感到樂觀。
A Closer Look At Levi Strauss' Earnings
對Levi Strauss盈利的更詳細觀察
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如財務專業人士所知,從現金流量計算出的應計比率是評估一家公司自由現金流(FCF)是否與其利潤相匹配的關鍵指標。換句話說,該比率將自由現金流從淨利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該期間公司的平均營運資產。該比率告訴我們公司的多少利潤不是由F C F支持的。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,負計提比率對公司而言是好事,而正計提比率則是壞事。雖然有正計提比率並不是問題,表明一定程度上有非現金利潤,但高計提比率可謂是壞事,因爲這表明鈔票利潤並未與現金流匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高計提比率通常是近期利潤的招負跡象。
Levi Strauss has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to August 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$633m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$154.9m. Notably, Levi Strauss had negative free cash flow last year, so the US$633m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
Levi Strauss在2024年8月的財年中的應計比率爲-0.19。 這意味着它具有非常好的現金轉換能力,並且其去年的盈利實際上嚴重低估了其自由現金流。 換句話說,在此期間,其產生了63300萬美元的自由現金流,遠遠超過其報告的利潤14590萬美元。 值得注意的是,Levi Strauss去年的自由現金流爲負數,因此其今年產生的63300萬美元是一個令人欣慰的改善。 話雖如此,故事還有更多內容。 應計比率反映了異常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在某種程度上。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Levi Strauss' profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$329m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Levi Strauss took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to August 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
李維斯特過去十二個月的利潤因價值3.29億美元的飛凡項目而減少,這有助於其產生高現金轉化率,正如其飛凡項目所反映的那樣。在那些飛凡項目包括非現金費用的情況下,我們預計會看到強大的應計比率,而在這種情況下確實發生了這種情況。看到飛凡項目造成公司利潤減少從來不是件好事,但好的一面是,事情可能會比預期的更快地好轉。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的飛凡項目通常不會重複發生。畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。李維斯特在截至2024年8月的一年中受到了相當大的飛凡項目打擊。其他條件不變的情況下,這很可能會導致報告利潤看起來比其潛在盈利能力更糟。
Our Take On Levi Strauss' Profit Performance
我們對李維斯特的利潤表現持有看法
Considering both Levi Strauss' accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. After considering all this, we reckon Levi Strauss' statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! If you'd like to know more about Levi Strauss as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Levi Strauss.
考慮到李維斯特的應計比率和其飛凡項目,我們認爲其法定收益不太可能誇大公司的潛在盈利能力。在考慮了所有這些之後,我們認爲李維斯特的法定利潤可能低估了其盈利潛力!如果您想更多了解李維斯特作爲一個業務的情況,重要的是要意識到它所面臨的任何風險。例如,我們發現了3個警示信號,您應該認真了解以更好地了解李維斯特。
After our examination into the nature of Levi Strauss' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在我們對李維斯特的利潤性質進行調查後,我們對公司感到樂觀。但是,如果您能夠專注於細節,總是有更多可以發現的。例如,許多人將高股權回報視爲良好的商業經濟指標,而其他人喜歡『跟着資金走』並尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些擁有高股權回報率的公司的免費收藏,或查看這些具有高內部所有權的股票清單。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。