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Netflix Analysts Turn More Optimistic Ahead Of Earnings: 'Expensive For A Reason'

Netflix Analysts Turn More Optimistic Ahead Of Earnings: 'Expensive For A Reason'

奈飛分析師在收益發布之前變得更加樂觀:'價格昂貴是有原因的'
Benzinga ·  10/07 23:09

A pair of Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) analysts are out with positive updates ahead of the entertainment giant's earnings report next week. The calls focused on valuation, with one analyst being notably more optimistic than the other.

奈飛(NFLX)的一對分析師在即將公佈娛樂業巨頭下週業績之際發佈了積極的更新。這些評級主要關注估值,其中一位分析師的樂觀程度明顯高於另一位。

What To Know: Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan maintained a neutral rating on Netflix on Monday and raised the price target from $659 to $705 ahead of earnings next week.

知情人士:高盛分析師埃裏克·謝里丹(Eric Sheridan)在週一維持了對奈飛的中立評級,並將目標股價從659美元提高至705美元,這是在下週公佈業績之前。

Sheridan remains positive on Netflix, but continued stock outperformance has raised valuation questions. Netflix has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the past year, up 87% versus 27% for the broader market, he said in a new note to clients.

謝里丹對奈飛持續看好,但股票持續的表現優異導致了估值問題。他在一份新向客戶發佈的報告中表示,奈飛在過去一年中表現明顯優於標普500指數,上漲了87%,而更廣泛的市場僅上漲了27%。

The Goldman analyst noted that much of the outperformance is warranted given that the company remains the market leader in streaming, has made further progress on its ad-supported tier and has seen competition continue to moderate as other streaming players focus on profits over growth.

高盛分析師指出,公司未來仍是流媒體領域的市場領導者,在廣告支持層面取得進一步進展,同時看到競爭趨於緩和,其他流媒體公司專注於利潤而非增長。

Sheridan highlighted recent third-party data showing that Netflix maintains a strong market leader position, giving the company pricing power and lower competitive intensity.

謝里丹強調最近的第三方數據顯示,奈飛仍然保持着強勁的市場領先地位,這爲公司賦予了定價能力和更低的競爭強度。

"Our Neutral rating is a factor of stock performance (NFLX shares +45% vs the SPX +20% YTD) and the forward multiple to growth already reflecting a host of positive operating cadence in 2025 and 2026 at current levels," the Goldman Sachs analyst said.

高盛分析師表示:「我們的中立評級受股價表現的影響(奈飛股價漲45%,標普500指數漲20%)以及正向運營節奏在當前水平已經反映在2025年和2026年的前瞻性增長倍數中。」

Sheridan is positive on Netflix, but he's hung up on valuation. That's where Piper Sandler, who also released a new note on Netflix on Monday, differs.

謝里丹看好奈飛,但他對估值感到困擾。而派傑投資也在週一發佈了關於奈飛的新報告,他們對此有不同看法。

"Notably, our prior Neutral stance was centered around valuation, but now, we appreciate the company is expensive for a reason," Piper Sandler analyst Matt Farrell said in a new note.

派傑投資分析師馬特·法雷爾(Matt Farrell)在一份新報告中表示:「值得注意的是,我們之前關於中立立場主要集中在估值上,但現在,我們認識到公司之所以昂貴是有原因的。」

Piper Sandler upgraded Netflix from Neutral to Overweight and raised the price target from $650 to $800 to reflect the company's clear leadership in the streaming space.

派傑投資將奈飛從中立評級上調至增持,並將價格目標從650美元上調至800美元,以反映該公司在流媒體領域的明顯領導地位。

Farrell believes positive earnings revisions could be on the horizon as Netflix's ad-tier business has been de-risked. The analyst also said the company still has levers it can pull in its ads-free business, particularly around pricing. He further noted that consensus estimates for margins could prove to be conservative.

法雷爾認爲,隨着奈飛廣告層業務的風險降低,積極的盈利修訂可能即將到來。分析師還表示,公司在無廣告業務中仍有調整空間,特別是在定價方面。他進一步指出,對於利潤率的共識預測可能被證明過於保守。

Netflix is due to report third-quarter financial results after the market close on Oct. 17. The company is expected to report earnings of $5.11 per share on revenue of $9.762 billion, according to estimates from Benzinga Pro.

奈飛將於10月17日盤後公佈第三季度業績。根據Benzinga Pro的估計,公司預計每股盈利爲5.11美元,營業收入爲976.2億。

The Piper Sandler analyst highlighted recent channel checks showing that streaming now represents about 41% of all television viewing in the U.S. According to Farrell, Netflix has about 20% share of streaming viewership and about 8% share of overall television viewing.

派傑投資分析師強調最近的渠道檢查顯示,流媒體現在約佔美國所有電視收視的41%。據法雷爾稱,奈飛約佔流媒體觀看量的20%,約佔總電視收視的8%。

"As the pivot to streaming continues, we expect the company to maintain its leadership position, particularly as it adds more and more live content," the analyst said.

「隨着轉向流媒體的持續,我們預計公司將保持其領先地位,特別是在增加更多現場內容時,」分析師說。

NFLX Price Action: Netflix shares were down 1.76% at $707.00 at the time of publication Monday, according to Benzinga Pro.

奈飛股價行情:根據Benzinga Pro,在星期一發布時,奈飛股價下跌1.76%,報707.00美元。

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Photo: Shutterstock.

照片:shutterstock。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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