Is Omnicell (NASDAQ:OMCL) A Risky Investment?
Is Omnicell (NASDAQ:OMCL) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Omnicell, Inc. (NASDAQ:OMCL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金管理人李璐在談到「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受永久性資本損失」時毫不客氣。 當我們考慮公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致滅頂之災。 我們注意到Omnicell公司(納斯達克:OMCL)的資產負債表上確實有債務。 但這筆債務是否會讓股東擔憂呢?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務能夠幫助企業,直到企業無法用新資本或自由現金流支付債務。在最糟糕的情況下,如果企業無法償還債權人,它可以破產。然而,更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,它必須以低價籌集新的股本資金,從而永久性地稀釋股東的所有權。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司合理地管理其債務-並且出於自身利益。考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is Omnicell's Debt?
Omnicell的債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Omnicell had US$571.2m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$556.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$14.4m.
下面的圖表可以點擊查看更詳細信息,顯示Omnicell在2024年6月有57120萬美元的債務;與前一年幾乎相同。 但是,它也有55680萬美元的現金,因此其淨債務爲1440萬美元。
How Healthy Is Omnicell's Balance Sheet?
Omnicell的資產負債表情況如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Omnicell had liabilities of US$407.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$681.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$556.8m in cash and US$253.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$278.4m.
深入研究最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Omnicell在12個月內到期的負債爲4.071億美元,在此之後到期的負債爲6.817億美元。抵消這一點的是,它手頭有5.568億美元的現金和2.537億美元的應收款項,這些款項在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收款項的總和達到2.784億美元。
Given Omnicell has a market capitalization of US$1.95b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, Omnicell has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Omnicell's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
鑑於Omnicell的市值爲19.5億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定建議股東繼續監控資產負債表的變化。但無論如何,Omnicell 幾乎沒有淨債務,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中對債務了解最多。但未來的收入,遠比其他任何事情,將決定Omnicell 維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份免費報告,其中展示了分析師的利潤預測。
In the last year Omnicell had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to US$1.1b. That's not what we would hope to see.
去年,Omnicell的利息和稅前虧損,並且營業收入實際上減少了13%,至110 億美元。這不是我們希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Not only did Omnicell's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$36m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$21m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Omnicell you should be aware of.
在過去十二個月裏,Omnicell的營業收入不僅下滑,而且利息和稅前收益(EBIT)也爲負。具體而言,EBIT虧損達到3600萬美元。考慮到上述負債,這並沒有給我們太多信心,認爲公司不應該使用如此多的債務。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些受壓,儘管不至於無法修復。例如,我們不希望看到去年21 億美元的虧損再次發生。與此同時,我們認爲該股票非常風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最多了解債務。但最終,每家公司都可能承擔存在於資產負債表之外的風險。案例證明:我們已經發現了Omnicell的⼀個警告信號,您應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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