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Is Crown Holdings (NYSE:CCK) A Risky Investment?

Is Crown Holdings (NYSE:CCK) A Risky Investment?

皇冠控股(紐交所:CCK)是一項高風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  10/07 18:15

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Crown Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CCK) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

當大衛·伊本說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久損失。」,他說得很好。因此,明智的資金知道債務是評估公司風險時通常涉及破產的重要因素。需要注意的是,皇冠控股公司(紐交所:CCK)確實存在債務。但股東是否應該擔心公司使用債務?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人,那麼它將處於他們的掌握之中。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有。然而,一個更爲頻繁的(但仍然代價高昂的)情況是公司必須以低於市場價的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,來彌補其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,以符合自身利益。當我們檢查債務水平時,首先考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Crown Holdings Carry?

皇冠控股承擔了多少債務?

As you can see below, Crown Holdings had US$7.41b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.41b, its net debt is less, at about US$6.00b.

正如您下面所看到的,截至2024年6月,皇冠控股公司的債務爲74.1億美元,與前一年相當。您可以點擊圖表查看更詳細信息。然而,由於其擁有14.1億美元的現金儲備,淨債務較少,約爲60億美元。

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NYSE:CCK Debt to Equity History October 7th 2024
紐交所:CCk債務與權益歷史記錄 2024年10月7日

A Look At Crown Holdings' Liabilities

皇冠控股的負債情況

The latest balance sheet data shows that Crown Holdings had liabilities of US$4.69b due within a year, and liabilities of US$7.19b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.41b as well as receivables valued at US$1.78b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$8.69b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,皇冠控股有46.9億美元的一年內到期的負債,以及71.9億美元的隨後到期的負債。 抵消這些義務,公司擁有14.1億美元的現金以及價值17.8億美元的應收賬款,其中12個月內到期。 因此,其負債高於其現金和(短期)應收賬款總和86.9億美元。

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of US$11.2b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

這是一座巨大的槓桿,甚至相對於其龐大的112億美元的市值而言。 如果其債權人要求加強資產負債表,股東可能面臨嚴重稀釋。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。

Crown Holdings's debt is 3.3 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.5 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a lighter note, we note that Crown Holdings grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Crown Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

皇冠控股的債務是其EBITDA的3.3倍,其EBIT覆蓋其利息費用的倍數爲3.5倍。 這表明雖然債務水平很高,我們不會認爲其存在問題。 另外,我們注意到皇冠控股去年的EBIT增長了27%。 如果能維持這種改善水平,債務負擔將開始像溫暖世界中的冰川一樣融化。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。 但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定皇冠控股是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Crown Holdings recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務; 它需要冰冷的現金。 因此,我們始終檢查多少EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。 查看最近兩年的數據,皇冠控股的自由現金流佔其EBIT的38%,弱於我們的預期。 就償還債務而言,這並不理想。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Crown Holdings's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Crown Holdings is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Crown Holdings .

既不是皇冠控股公司用其EBIt覆蓋利息支出的能力,也不是其總負債水平給出我們對其承擔更多債務能力的信心。但其EBIt增長率講述了一個截然不同的故事,並表明了一些韌性。綜觀上述所有角度,我們似乎認爲皇冠控股公司由於其債務而成爲一項有些風險的投資。這並不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但這是需要意識到的事情。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,您應該意識到我們發現的與皇冠控股有關的1個警告信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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