S&P 500 To End Year Over 6,000? 34% Of Benzinga Readers Predict 'Raging Bull Run'
S&P 500 To End Year Over 6,000? 34% Of Benzinga Readers Predict 'Raging Bull Run'
The S&P 500 Index, which is tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) continues to hit all-time highs with market optimism from investors and an interest rate cut sparking the potential for a strong end to the 2024 year.
標普500指數，由SPDR標普500ETF trust (NYSE:SPY) 追蹤，持續創下歷史新高，投資者的市場樂觀情緒和利率下調刺激了2024年強勁收官的潛力。
What Happened: For the first time since 2019, the S&P 500 posted a positive return during September.
事件經過：自2019年以來，標普500首次在9月實現正收益。
With three months left in the calendar year, investors see more optimism ahead.
在日曆年剩下的三個月裏，投資者看到更多樂觀情緒。
"Is the S&P 500 heading for a raging bull run or a devastating crash by the end of 2024?" Benzinga asked its readers.
「標普500指數會在2024年年底是走向巨牛市還是災難性的崩盤？」Benzinga詢問了它的讀者。
Here are the results:
以下是結果：
- Raging Bull Run – It will finish the year above 6,000: 34%
- Holding Steady – It will finish between 5,400-5,700: 51%
- Devastating Crash – It's dropping below 5,000: 16%
- 巨牛市 - 將在6000點以上結束：34%
- 持穩 - 將在5400-5700之間結束：51%
- 災難性崩盤 - 降至5000以下：16%
The poll found that the majority of people see the S&P 500 Index holding steady to close out the year with year-to-date gains of more than 20% currently realized.
該調查發現，大多數人認爲標普500指數將穩步收復，年初以來已實現超過20%的收益。
A large portion of readers see the S&P 500 hitting new highs of over 6,000 by the end of the year then crashing back down to the 5,000 level last seen in May of this year.
很多讀者認爲標普500指數將在年底達到超過6000點的新高，然後重挫回到今年5月份最後一次見到的5000點水平。
Did You Know?
你知道嗎？
- Congress Is Making Huge Investments. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool
- 國會正在大量投資。藉助我們易於使用的工具，了解他們在2024年選舉之前買入和賣出的股票。
Why It's Important: The S&P 500 is up 20.9% year-to-date at a current level of 5,733.46. Over the past 52 weeks, the well-known stock index has traded between 4,103.78 to 5,767.37.
爲什麼這個重要：標普500指數年初至今上漲了20.9%，當前水平爲5733.46。在過去52週中，這個著名的股票指數的交易區間爲4103.78至5767.37。
Here's a look at the yearly returns for the index in recent years:
讓我們來看一下近年來該指數的年度回報率：
- 2023: +24.2%
- 2022: -19.4%
- 2021: +26.9%
- 2020: +16.3%
- 2019: +28.9%
- 2023: +24.2%
- 2022: -19.4%
- 2021: +26.9%
- 2020: +16.3%
- 2019: +28.9%
The 2024 year also marks a presidential election year, which has historically posted strong market performances. The S&P 500 Index has been up 14 of the past 16 presidential years, with the only down years coming with the dot-com bubble (2000) and global financial crisis (2008).
2024年也是總統選舉年，歷史上總是表現強勁。過去16屆總統選舉中，標普500指數有14次上漲，唯一下跌是在互聯網泡沫（2000年）和全球金融危機（2008年）期間。
The +20.9% performance currently ranks ahead of the last five presidential election years, shown below:
+20.9%的表現目前超過了過去五屆總統選舉年，如下所示：
- 2020: +18.4%
- 2016: +12.0%
- 2012: +16.0%
- 2008: -37.0%
- 2004: +10.9%
- 2020: +18.4%
- 2016: +12.0%
- 2012: +16.0%
- 2008: -37.0%
- 2004: +10.9%
With a 20%+ return in 2024, the S&P 500 would finish well above the average of +10.5% over the past 16 presidential election years.
2024年收益率超過20％，標普500指數將遠高於過去16個總統選舉年平均+10.5％。
The study was conducted by Benzinga from Sept. 30 through Oct. 2, 2024, and included the responses of a diverse population of adults 18 or older. Opting into the survey was completely voluntary, with no incentives offered to potential respondents. The study reflects results from 103 adults.
該研究由Benzinga在2024年9月30日至10月2日期間進行，涵蓋了18歲以上成年人口的多樣化調查結果。參與調查完全是自願的，並沒有給潛在受訪者提供任何激勵措施。該研究反映了103名成年人的調查結果。
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Photo: Shutterstock
Photo: shutterstock
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。