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Netflix Stock Could Get Boost From NFL Games, 'Squid Game' Season 2: Analyst Says 'Content Catalysts' Begin In Q4

Netflix Stock Could Get Boost From NFL Games, 'Squid Game' Season 2: Analyst Says 'Content Catalysts' Begin In Q4

奈飛股票可能會因NFL比賽和《魷魚遊戲》第二季獲得提振:分析師表示「內容催化劑」將於第四季度開始
Benzinga ·  00:25

Streaming giant Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) could have some of its most anticipated content released with two NFL games and the release of "Squid Game" season two in December, content that an analyst said could help boost the future valuation of the stock.

流媒體巨頭奈飛公司(納斯達克股票代碼NFLX)可能會在12月發佈兩場NFL比賽和《烏賊遊戲》第二季等備受期待的內容,一位分析師表示,這些內容有望幫助提升該股票未來的估值。

The Netflix Analyst: KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst Justin Patterson reiterated an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $735 to $760.

奈飛分析師:KeyBanc資本市場的分析師賈斯汀·帕特森(Justin Patterson)重申股票評級爲超配,並將價格目標從735美元上調至760美元。

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閱讀更多:文斯·麥克馬洪抨擊奈飛,結束對即將推出的關於WWE生涯的紀錄片的17個月的沉默:它會「讓觀衆感到困惑」

The Netflix Takeaways: While most attention for Netflix will be on the upcoming third-quarter results on Oct. 17, Patterson highlights the company's fourth-quarter content slate and the potential for increased earnings per share in fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026.

奈飛要點:儘管大多數關注都集中在10月17日即將公佈的第三季度業績上,帕特森強調了公司第四季度的內容計劃表,並指出在2025財年和2026財年有望提高每股收益。

"We believe Netflix's strengthening content slate should drive better viewership and support improved monetization," Patterson said.

「我們相信奈飛不斷強化的內容計劃表應該推動更好的觀衆觀看,並支持改善的貨幣化,」帕特森表示。

The analyst said the third-quarter results and fourth-quarter guidance may not contain any surprises, but the company's content catalysts "are weighted toward the end of 4Q."

該分析師表示,第三季度業績和第四季度指引可能不會有任何意外,但公司的內容催化劑「主要集中在第四季度末期。」

Netflix will air two National Football League games on Dec. 25 and premiere the highly anticipated second season of "Squid Game" on Dec. 26, the analyst added.

奈飛將於12月25日播出兩場美國職業橄欖球聯盟比賽,並於12月26日首映備受期待的《烏賊遊戲》第二季,該分析師補充說。

"As content ramps and pricing levels are pulled, we see potential for EPS of $24/$30 in 2025E/2026E."

「隨着內容的增加和定價水平的提升,我們預計2025年和2026年的每股收益爲24美元/30美元。」

Patterson predicts Netflix will add 5.5 million net paid adds in the third quarter, which is higher than Street consensus estimates of 4.3 million net adds.

帕特森預測奈飛第三季度會新增550萬個付費用戶,高於街頭一致預期的430萬個新增用戶。

"Given NFL Christmas Day games and Squid Game 2 occur late in the quarter, we expect Netflix to take a conservative stance within guidance."

鑑於NFL聖誕節比賽和《烏賊遊戲2》將在季末出現,我們預計奈飛將在指導方針內採取保守立場。

The analyst said Netflix raising prices wouldn't come as a surprise as the streaming company is now at a lower price point for rival ad-supported plans and in line with most rival ad-free plans.

分析師表示,奈飛提價不會讓人感到意外,因爲這家流媒體公司現在的價格點低於競爭對手支持廣告計劃的價格,並且與大多數競爭對手的無廣告計劃保持一致。

"We believe raising prices on both the ad-supported and standard price plans could alleviate concerns about ad ARPU dilution and support 2025 revenue growth in the low-teens."

我們認爲在支持廣告和標準價格計劃上提價可以緩解對廣告每用戶收入的稀釋擔憂,並支持2025年低十幾位數的營業收入增長。

Other areas to watch in Netflix's upcoming report include the AdTech stack progress of the company's proprietary platform, an update on advertising revenue and margins, according to the analyst.

在奈飛即將發佈的報告中,其他要關注的領域包括公司專有平台的廣告技術堆棧進展情況,以及廣告營收和利潤率的更新,分析師說。

"Unless there is a price increase or a material net add slowdown, we do not expect much reaction on this print. Most investors we speak with are comfortable with Netflix's competitive position and aware that content catalysts are coming."

「除非有價格上漲或實質性淨增速放緩,我們不指望在這一報告中看到太大的反應。我們與大多數投資者交談時得知,他們很滿意奈飛的競爭地位,並意識到內容驅動因素即將到來。」

NFLX Price Action: Netflix stock is down 0.60% to $705.02 on Tuesday versus a 52-week trading range of $344.73 to $725.56. Netflix stock is up 50% year-to-date in 2024.

NFLX股價走勢:週二,奈飛股價下跌0.60%至705.02美元,較52周交易區間的344.73美元至725.56美元高。奈飛股價今年截至2024年年初上漲了50%。

  • Netflix Q2 Earnings Highlights: Revenue Beat, EPS Beat, Advertising Revenue 'More Meaningful,' 'Squid Game' Multiplayer Game Coming
  • 奈飛Q2業績亮點:營業收入超預期,每股收益超預期,廣告收入「更有意義」,《魷魚遊戲》多人遊戲即將推出。

Photo: Shutterstock

Photo: shutterstock

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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