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Is Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) Using Too Much Debt?

赫氏(紐交所:HXL)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  20:12

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hexcel Corporation (NYSE:HXL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」因此,聰明人似乎知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險時很重要的因素。我們注意到赫氏公司(紐交所:HXL)的資產負債表上確實存在債務。但股東們應該擔心它債務的使用嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還債權人,那麼它就處於他們的掌握之中。資本主義的一部分就是'創造性破壞'的過程,即失敗的企業被無情地由他們的銀行家清算。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲貸款人強迫他們以困境價位籌集資本而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處是,它通常代表了廉價資本,尤其是當它取代公司具有高回報能力的再投資時的稀釋。當我們考慮一家公司對債務的使用時,我們首先看現金和債務的結合。

What Is Hexcel's Net Debt?

赫氏的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hexcel had US$793.3m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$81.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$711.8m.

下面的圖表顯示,赫氏在2024年6月擁有79330萬美元的債務;與前一年差不多。然而,因爲它有8150萬美元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,大約爲71180萬美元。

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NYSE:HXL Debt to Equity History September 28th 2024
紐交所:HXL 債務與權益歷史2024年9月28日

How Healthy Is Hexcel's Balance Sheet?

赫氏的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hexcel had liabilities of US$293.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$962.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$81.5m as well as receivables valued at US$317.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$857.3m.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,赫氏有短期到期的負債爲2.937億美元,以及此後到期的負債爲9.627億美元。 抵消這些義務的是,它有8.15億美元的現金以及價值3.176億美元的應收款項,在12個月內到期。 因此,其負債比其現金和(短期)應收款項的總和多8.573億美元。

Since publicly traded Hexcel shares are worth a total of US$5.03b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

因爲公開交易的赫氏股份總價值爲503億美元,看起來這種水平的負債不太可能構成重大威脅。 但是,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨時間改變。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比以及計算其利息支出由收益前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋的程度來度量一家公司的債務負載相對於其收益能力的程度。此方法的優點在於我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(以淨債務爲EBITDA)以及與該債務相關的實際利息支出(以其利息覆蓋倍數計算)。

Hexcel's net debt of 2.1 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.2 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. We saw Hexcel grow its EBIT by 2.0% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hexcel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

赫氏的淨債務爲EBITDA的2.1倍,表明其對債務的優雅使用。 令人嚮往的利息覆蓋率(EBIt爲利息費用的7.2倍)確實沒有消除這種印象。 我們看到赫氏在過去12個月中將其EBIt增長了2.0%。 儘管遠非令人難以置信,但在償還債務方面是一件好事。 毫無疑問,我們最多從資產負債表中了解債務情況。 但是,未來的收入,勝過任何事情,將決定赫氏未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。 因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Hexcel recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,儘管稅務部門可能熱愛會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。 因此,我們明顯需要查看EBIt是否導致相應的自由現金流。 在最近的三年中,赫氏錄得的自由現金流價值爲其EBIt的57%,這在正常範圍之內,考慮到自由現金流不包括利息和稅。 這種自由現金流使公司有能力在適當時支付債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Both Hexcel's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its interest cover gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its net debt to EBITDA somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hexcel is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hexcel you should be aware of.

赫氏有能力將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流,以及其利息保障使我們相信它有能力償還債務。話雖如此,其淨債務與EBITDA之比使我們對資產負債表潛在未來風險更爲敏感。綜合考慮以上所有因素,我們認爲赫氏在處理債務方面表現相當不錯。但需要警惕的是:我們認爲債務水平高到足以證明需要持續監控。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如:我們已經發現有2個赫氏的警示信號,您應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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