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Elon Musk's Not-So-Long-Ago Prediction Of A 1929 Market Crash Falls Flat As S&P 500 Soars 50%, Defying Tesla CEO's Gloomy Outlook

Elon Musk's Not-So-Long-Ago Prediction Of A 1929 Market Crash Falls Flat As S&P 500 Soars 50%, Defying Tesla CEO's Gloomy Outlook

特斯拉CEO埃隆·馬斯克不久前預測1929年的市場崩盤,但標普500指數飆升50%,與特斯拉CEO的悲觀前景背道而馳
Benzinga ·  13:20

The S&P 500 has surged nearly 50% since Tesla Inc and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk drew parallels between the current market conditions and the infamous 1929 stock market crash.

標普500指數自特斯拉公司和spacex首席執行官埃隆·馬斯克把當前市場情況與臭名昭著的1929年股市崩盤相提並論以來,已經飆升近50%。

What Happened: This remarkable rally, was highlighted by CNBC's Carl Quintanilla.

發生了什麼:這一非凡的反彈,受到了CNBC的卡爾·昆塔尼利亞的關注。

On Mar. 15, 2023, amid a flurry of bank failures that sent shockwaves through the financial sector, Musk tweeted, "Lot of current year similarities to 1929."

2023年3月15日,在一連串導致金融板塊震盪的銀行倒閉潮中,馬斯克發推文稱:「很多今年與1929年有相似之處。」

This ominous comparison to one of the darkest chapters in economic history came in response to a now-unavailable post by Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, known for her bullish stance on disruptive technologies.

這種不祥的比較是對經濟史上一個最黑暗篇章的回應,這種比較是針對 ark首席執行官凱茜·伍德發表的一篇現在無法訪問的發帖,凱茜因其對顛覆性技術的看好立場而聞名。

Lot of current year similarities to 1929

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 15, 2023

很多今年與1929年有相似之處

— 埃隆·馬斯克 (@elonmusk) 2023年3月15日

Musk's tweet coincided with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Signature Bank, and Silvergate Capital, events that briefly paralyzed financial markets and evoked memories of the 2008 financial crisis.

馬斯克的推文與硅谷銀行(SVB)、signature bank和silvergate capital的崩盤同時發生,這些事件短暫地使金融市場陷入癱瘓,並喚起了人們對2008年金融危機的回憶。

The turmoil led to significant market value losses for banking giants like JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, though they later rebounded following swift regulatory intervention.

這一動盪導致摩根大通和美國銀行等銀行巨頭的市值大幅損失,儘管在迅速的監管幹預之後它們後來已經回升。

Why It Matters: The 1929 reference was particularly chilling for those familiar with financial history. The stock market crash of that year, infamously known as Black Tuesday or the Great Crash, triggered the Great Depression, an economic catastrophe unparalleled in modern times.

對於熟悉金融歷史的人來說,1929年的參考特別令人不安。那一年的股市崩盤,惡名昭著地被稱爲黑色星期二或大崩盤,引發了大蕭條,這是現代史上前所未有的經濟災難。

During that fateful October, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 23% in just two days, setting the stage for a decade of economic hardship.

在那個命運多舛的十月,道瓊斯工業平均指數在短短兩天內暴跌了23%,爲接下來十年的經濟困難打下了基礎。

While Musk didn't elaborate on the specific similarities he observed between 1929 and the current market, Wood had previously suggested that the rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) had led to the first decline in bank deposit levels since the Roaring Twenties. The observation hinted at potential systemic risks lurking beneath the surface of the financial system.

雖然馬斯克沒有詳細說明他觀察到的1929年和當前市場之間的具體相似之處,但伍德此前曾暗示,像比特幣(加密貨幣: BTC)和以太幣(加密貨幣: ETH)等加密貨幣的崛起導致了自狂歡時代以來銀行存款水平的首次下降。這一觀察暗示着潛藏在金融體系表面下的潛在系統風險。

However, contrary to these gloomy forecasts, the S&P 500 has demonstrated remarkable resilience. According to data from Benzinga Pro, the index closed at 5,745.37 on Thursday, representing a staggering 47.62% increase from its level of 3,891.93 on the day of Musk's tweet.

然而,與這些悲觀預測相反,標普500指數展現了驚人的韌性。根據彭博專業版的數據,該指數週四收於5745.37點,較馬斯克發推文當天的3891.93點水平增長了驚人的47.62%。

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Image Via Shutterstock

圖片來自Shutterstock。

Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

免責聲明:本內容部分使用人工智能工具生成,並經Benzinga編輯審核發佈。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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