Is Adtalem Global Education (NYSE:ATGE) A Risky Investment?
Is Adtalem Global Education (NYSE:ATGE) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Adtalem Global Education Inc. (NYSE:ATGE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(受到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是是否會承受永久性的資本損失。」因此,明智的資金知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險程度時非常重要的因素。我們注意到Adtalem Global Education Inc.(紐交所:ATGE)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這筆債務是否令股東擔憂呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
當企業無法輕鬆履行債務義務時,債務和其他負債會變得風險高企。無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資本,如果情況變得非常糟糕,銀行家就可以控制企業。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東,只是爲了控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是當它用於替換具有高回報率再投資能力的股權稀釋之時。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平,將它們合併在一起。
What Is Adtalem Global Education's Net Debt?
Adtalem Global Education的淨債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Adtalem Global Education had US$648.7m of debt in June 2024, down from US$695.1m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$219.3m, its net debt is less, at about US$429.4m.
您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但顯示Adtalem Global Education在2024年6月擁有6.487億元的債務,低於一年前的6.951億元。但由於其擁有2.193億元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲4.294億元。
A Look At Adtalem Global Education's Liabilities
審視adtalem global education的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Adtalem Global Education had liabilities of US$487.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$884.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$219.3m as well as receivables valued at US$126.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.03b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
深入了解最新資產負債表數據,我們可以看到adtalem global education在12個月內到期的負債爲48770萬美元,到期超過12個月的負債爲88460萬美元。 抵消這些義務,它持有21930萬美元的現金以及價值12680萬美元的應收款項,這些應收款項在12個月內到期。 因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項的組合多了10.3億美元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Adtalem Global Education has a market capitalization of US$2.92b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
雖然這看起來很多,但由於adtalem global education的市值爲29.2億美元,所以如果需要的話,它可能通過籌集資金加強其資產負債表。 但我們絕對希望留意跡象,表明其債務帶來過多風險。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。
While Adtalem Global Education's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.1 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We note that Adtalem Global Education grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Adtalem Global Education can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
雖然adtalem global education的低債務與EBITDA比率爲1.2表明只是適度使用債務,但去年EBIt僅覆蓋了利息支出的5.1倍,這讓我們感到擔憂。 因此,我們建議密切關注融資成本對業務的影響。 我們注意到,adtalem global education去年的EBIt增長了20%,這應該使其未來更容易償還債務。 毫無疑問,我們最多從資產負債表中了解債務情況。 但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定adtalem global education是否能隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師利潤預測的這份免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Adtalem Global Education recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,公司只能用冰冷的現金來償還債務,而不是會計盈利。因此,我們始終會核實該EBIt中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在最近的三年裏,adtalem global education記錄的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIt的60%,這是正常情況,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅金。這筆冰冷的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, Adtalem Global Education's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And we also thought its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a positive. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Adtalem Global Education can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Adtalem Global Education you should be aware of.
令人高興的是,adtalem global education令人印象深刻的EBIt增長率意味着它在債務方面具有優勢。我們還認爲其將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流是一個積極因素。綜合考慮所有上述因素,我們認爲adtalem global education可以相對輕鬆地處理其債務。當然,雖然這種槓桿可以提高股本回報,但也帶來了更多風險,因此值得關注。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,而是相去甚遠。一個例證:我們發現了adtalem global education的2個警告信號,你應該注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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