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Investing in PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 315% Gain

Investing in PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 315% Gain

如果5年前投資普得集團(紐交所:PHM),您將獲得315%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  09/24 19:50

When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For example, the PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE:PHM) share price has soared 293% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. It's also good to see the share price up 30% over the last quarter.

當您買入一支股票時,總會有可能下跌100%。但從積極的一面來看,如果您以合適的價格買入高質量公司的股票,您可能獲得超過100%的收益。例如,普得集團(紐交所:PHM)的股價在過去五年中飆升了293%。大多數人對此會感到非常高興。 另外,股價在過去一個季度上漲了30%,也是一個好兆頭。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

讓我們長期看一下潛在的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然一些人仍然在教授高效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者不總是理性的。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是比較每股收益 (EPS) 與股價。

Over half a decade, PulteGroup managed to grow its earnings per share at 33% a year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 31%. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

在過去五年半的時間裏,普得集團設法將其每股收益增長率維持在33%。這意味着每年的每股收益增長與股價增長的31%非常接近。這表明投資者對該公司的情緒並沒有發生太大變化。實際上,股價似乎在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增長。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

big
NYSE:PHM Earnings Per Share Growth September 24th 2024
2024年9月24日,紐交所:PHm每股收益增長

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on PulteGroup's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

值得一看的是我們關於普得集團盈利、營業收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of PulteGroup, it has a TSR of 315% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。TSR是一個回報計算,它考慮了現金股利的價值(假設任何收到的股利都被再投資)以及任何折價的股本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,TSR爲支付股利的股票提供了一個更完整的圖片。就普得集團而言,過去5年的TSR達到315%。這超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's nice to see that PulteGroup shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 95% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 33%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for PulteGroup (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

看到普得集團股東在過去一年收到了95%的總股東回報,包括股息在內。這一增益優於過去五年的年度TSR,爲33%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎是積極的。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這可能意味着現在是更深入了解的好時機。雖然值得考慮市場條件對股價的影響,但還有更重要的其他因素。比如風險。每家公司都有這樣的風險,我們已經發現普得集團有2個警示信號(其中1個有點令人擔憂!)您應該知道。

But note: PulteGroup may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:普得集團可能不是最好的股票買入選擇。因此,請查看此可免費獲取的有着過去盈利增長(以及未來預期增長)的有趣公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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