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Investors in International Paper (NYSE:IP) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 47% Over the Past Year

Investors in International Paper (NYSE:IP) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 47% Over the Past Year

國際紙業(紐交所:IP)的投資者在過去一年中獲得了可觀的回報,達到了47%。
Simply Wall St ·  09/23 19:38

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the International Paper Company (NYSE:IP) share price is up 40% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 30% (not including dividends). If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! Unfortunately the longer term returns are not so good, with the stock falling 15% in the last three years.

投資股票的最簡單方式是購買交易所交易基金。但如果您挑選對的個別股票,您可能會獲得比這更多的收益。例如,國際紙業公司(紐交所:IP)股價在過去1年上漲了40%,明顯超過了約30%的市場回報(不包括分紅)。如果它能在長期內保持這種優異表現,投資者將會獲得很好的回報!不幸的是,長期回報並不理想,該股在過去三年下跌了15%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話:「船隻將周遊世界,而『地平派』仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……」考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。

During the last year, International Paper actually saw its earnings per share drop 68%.

在過去一年,國際紙業實際上看到其每股收益下降了68%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評估公司。因此,目前看來,投資者更加重視除每股收益之外的指標。

Unfortunately International Paper's fell 8.3% over twelve months. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

不幸的是,國際紙業在十二個月內下跌了8.3%。因此,基本指標並沒有明顯解釋股價上漲的原因。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

big
NYSE:IP Earnings and Revenue Growth September 23rd 2024
紐交所:國際紙業2024年9月23日的盈利和營業收入增長

International Paper is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling International Paper stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

國際紙業是一家著名股票,受到許多分析師關注,表明對未來增長有一定的洞察力。如果您考慮購買或出售國際紙業股票,您應該查看這份免費報告,顯示分析師對未來利潤的共識估計。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of International Paper, it has a TSR of 47% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報,以及股價回報。而股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,TSR包括了股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何打折的資本籌資或拆分獲利。可以說,TSR給出了一幅更全面的股票收益圖景。就國際紙業而言,過去一年TSR爲47%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,分紅付款在很大程度上解釋了差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that International Paper shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 47% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 9% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand International Paper better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - International Paper has 5 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

我們很高興地報告,國際紙業的股東在一年內獲得了總股東回報率達47%。其中包括分紅。這比近半個世紀的年化回報率9%要好,這意味着公司近期表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能會認爲近期TSR的改善表明業務本身隨着時間的推移正在變得更好。長期跟蹤股價表現始終是一件有趣的事情。但要更好地了解國際紙業,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。以風險爲例 - 國際紙業有5個警示信號,我們認爲您應該注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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