Is Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Absci Corporation (NASDAQ:ABSI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯曾經很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股價的波動性,我更擔心永久損失的可能性...我認識的每一個實際投資者都會擔心。 當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務超負荷可能導致滅亡。 重要的是,Absci Corporation(納斯達克代碼:ABSI)確實承擔了債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務所帶來的風險有多大?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當一家企業無法通過自由現金流或者以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆兌現其債務和其他負債時,這些債務和其他負債就會成爲企業的風險。最壞的情況是,如果一家公司無法償付其債權人的債務,就會破產。雖然這種情況並不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的企業因爲債權人強迫它們以低價籌集資本而永久稀釋股東的利益。當然,債務在企業中可以成爲重要的工具,特別是在投資巨額的企業中。在考慮企業負債的情況下,我們首先要看現金和債務的總體情況。
What Is Absci's Debt?
Absci的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Absci had debt of US$6.25m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$9.52m over a year. But on the other hand it also has US$145.2m in cash, leading to a US$139.0m net cash position.
下面的圖片,你可以點擊放大查看,顯示Absci在2024年6月底有625萬美元的債務,相比一年前的952萬美元有所減少。但另一方面,它還有1.452億美元的現金,淨現金餘額爲1.39億美元。
How Strong Is Absci's Balance Sheet?
Absci的資產負債表如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Absci had liabilities of US$25.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$8.57m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$145.2m as well as receivables valued at US$44.0k due within 12 months. So it can boast US$111.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
放大最新資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Absci在12個月內有2550萬美元的負債,超過這個期限有857萬美元的負債。抵消這些負債,它有1.452億美元的現金和4.4萬美元的應收款項,這些款項在12個月內到期。所以它可以比總負債多擁有1.112億美元的流動資產。
This excess liquidity suggests that Absci is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Absci has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Absci can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
這種過剩的流動性表明Absci在債務管理上採取了謹慎的態度。因爲它有很多資產,所以不太可能與借款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,Absci擁有比債務更多的現金可以安全地管理債務,這可以算得上是一個好的指標。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但最終,企業的未來盈利能力將決定Absci能否增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想了解專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有意思。
In the last year Absci had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 62%, to US$3.3m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在過去的一年裏,Absci在利息和稅前虧損,並且其營業收入實際上減少了62%,降至330萬美元。坦率地說,這並不好。
So How Risky Is Absci?
Absci有多大的風險?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Absci lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$61m and booked a US$92m accounting loss. But at least it has US$139.0m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Absci that you should be aware of.
從本質上講,虧損的公司比長期盈利的公司更加風險。事實是,在過去的十二個月中,Absci在利息和稅前收益(EBIT)線上虧損。在同期,它看到自由現金流出流量爲6100萬美元,並計入賬面損失9200萬美元。但至少它在資產負債表上擁有1.39億美元可用於近期的增長。總體而言,目前來看,它的資產負債表似乎並不過於冒險,但我們總是保持謹慎,直到看到積極的自由現金流。資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了Absci的4個預警信號,你應該注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。
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