share_log

Why Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Broadcom, TSMC, and Arm Holdings Were Moving Higher Today

Why Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Broadcom, TSMC, and Arm Holdings Were Moving Higher Today

爲什麼人工智能(AI)股票博通、台積電和Arm控股今天上漲?
The Motley Fool ·  09/20 01:45

Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks were soaring today in response to the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision yesterday to cut the benchmark interest rates by 50 basis points.

人工智能(AI)股票今天飆升,這是對美國聯邦儲備局昨日決定將基準利率下調50個點子的回應。

The federal funds rate is now 4.75%-5%, and the central bank signaled that it would cut rates twice more, by 25 basis points each time, before the end of the year.

聯邦基金利率目前爲4.75%-5%,央行暗示年底前還將再次減息兩次,每次減息25個點子。

While stocks were volatile after the announcement yesterday, investors gave the news a full-throated cheer this morning, with major stock market indexes up sharply. The S&P 500 was up 1.5% and the Nasdaq up 2.3% as of 10:09 a.m. ET. Growth stocks and those dependent on capital investment like AI stocks did especially well.

昨天公告後,股市波動不定,但今天上午投資者對這個消息大力支持,主要股市指數大幅上漲。截至上午10:09,標準普爾500指數上漲了1.5%,納斯達克指數上漲了2.3%。成長型股票和那些依賴資本投資的人工智能股票表現尤爲出色。

Among the winners were Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), which was up 4%; Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM), which had gained 4.3%; and Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM); which was also up 4.3% at the same time.

其中,博通(納斯達克:AVGO)上漲4%;台積電(紐交所:TSM)上漲了4.3%;Arm Holdings(納斯達克:ARM)在同一時間也上漲了4.3%。

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SMH) was up 4.2% as well, showing that the gains were broad-based in the chip sector.

VanEck半導體ETF(納斯達克:SMH)也上漲了4.2%,顯示出芯片行業的漲勢廣泛。

Why AI stocks were soaring today

爲什麼人工智能股票今天飆升

Semiconductors and AI stocks are a sensitive, cyclical sector in any kind of market environment, but that's especially true in the current one, as there's a lot of uncertainty around the strength of the economy, the durability of AI investment, and valuations in the sector.

在任何市場環境中,半導體和人工智能股票都是一個敏感的、週期性的行業,但在當前的市場環境中尤其如此,因爲對經濟強度、人工智能投資的持久性以及該行業的估值存在很多不確定性。

However, falling interest rates help assuage concerns on all of those fronts, especially since the central bank surprised some investors by cutting rates by 50 basis points instead of 25 bps, showing they want to stay ahead of the curve this time.

然而,降低利率有助於緩解這些問題,尤其是央行意外地將利率削減了50個點子而不是25個點子,表明他們想這次領先一步。

Broadcom is a diversified tech company with exposure to cybersecurity, virtualization software, custom semiconductors, Ethernet switches and networking chips, and AI. The company expects to generate $12 billion in AI revenue this year.

博通是一家多元化的科技公司,涉足網絡安全、虛擬化軟件、定製半導體、以太網交換機、網絡芯片和人工智能。該公司預計今年將產生120億美元的人工智能營業收入。

Broadcom is known as a prolific acquirer of businesses, buying VMware late last year, and lower rates will make it easier for the company to finance future acquisitions. Lower rates could also reduce Broadcom's interest rate or help it refinance its debt, as the company now has $66.8 billion.

博通以併購業務聞名,去年後期收購了VMware,利率降低將使該公司更容易融資進行未來收購。降低利率也可能降低博通的利率,或幫助其再融資,因爲該公司目前擁有668億美元。

Additionally, Broadcom's customers will benefit from lower borrowing costs, making them more willing to invest in chips and other tech infrastructure.

此外,博通的客戶將受益於較低的借貸成本,使他們更願意投資芯片和其他科技基礎設施。

Taiwan Semiconductor may be the biggest linchpin in the tech industry. It's the world's biggest contract manufacturer of semiconductors, handling production for companies like Apple, Nvidia, Broadcom, and AMD. It's a cyclical business, and lowered interest rates are likely to support spending and demand for its major companies, especially Apple, which makes up about 25% of its revenue, as the iPhone maker is sensitive to consumer spending and demand.

台積電可能是科技行業最重要的支柱。它是全球最大的半導體代工廠,爲像蘋果、英偉達、博通和AMD等公司的生產提供服務。這是一個週期性業務,降低的利率可能會支持其主要客戶的支出和需求,尤其是蘋果,蘋果約佔其營業收入的25%,因爲iPhone製造商對消費支出和需求敏感。

TSMC is also in the process of building massive foundries around the world, and it will need billions of dollars to do so. Lower borrowing costs, at least in the U.S., will make it easier for it to do that.

台積電還在全球範圍內建設大型晶圓廠,並且需要數十億美元進行投資。至少在美國,降低借貸成本將使其更容易實現這一目標。

Finally, Arm Holdings is in a similar position to TSMC as a key supplier for partners like Apple and Nvidia. Arm isn't a manufacturer, however. It licenses its chip designs like CPU architecture to companies like Apple. In fact, the iPhone is estimated to account for roughly half of its royalty revenue currently, so a boost for spending on iPhones is a win for Arm. Notably, Apple stock was up around 4% this morning.

最後,Arm控股公司與台積電處於類似的位置,是像蘋果和英偉達等合作伙伴的關鍵供應商。不過,Arm並非製造商。它向蘋果等公司許可其cpu芯片架構設計。實際上,iPhone估計目前約佔其版稅收入的一半,因此對iPhone的支出增加對Arm來說是一個勝利。值得注意的是,蘋果股票今天早上上漲了約4%。

Similarly, the company also has increasing exposure to AI technologies in data centers and elsewhere, and lower rates should help increase investments in those areas, including in Arm technology, benefiting the company.

同樣,該公司還不斷增加在數據中心和其他領域的人工智能技術投資,降低利率應有助於增加對這些領域的投資,包括對Arm技術的投資,從而使該公司受益。

What's next for AI stocks?

人工智能股票的下一個是什麼?

With interest rates expected to come down further this year and into next, that should provide a tailwind for these three stocks and help tamp down concerns about a recession, which should further boost the AI sector.

隨着利率預計在今年和明年進一步下降,這將爲這三隻股票提供了一個向上的助力,並有助於平息對經濟衰退的擔憂,進一步推動人工智能行業的增長。

While there are valid concerns about valuations and the strength of end-user demand for new AI technologies like ChatGPT, the cloud infrastructure giants have signaled their eagerness to keep spending on AI infrastructure, which should support the growth of Broadcom, TSMC, and Arm.

儘管對像ChatGPt這樣的新型人工智能技術的估值和終端用戶需求的強度存在無效擔憂,但云基礎設施巨頭已經表示他們渴望繼續在人工智能基礎設施上的支出,這將支持博通、台積電和ARM的增長。

With monetary policy now loosening, AI stocks look poised for another step higher.

隨着貨幣政策的放鬆,人工智能股票看起來有望再次上漲。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論