Brazil Expected To Raise Interest Rates Hours After Fed Lowers Them
Brazil Expected To Raise Interest Rates Hours After Fed Lowers Them
Two economists are forecasting a higher increase of 50 basis points the other two expect the rate to stay the same.Brazil's central bank will likely raise interest rates for the first time in two years due to a heated economy and an above-target inflation outlook.
由於經濟繁榮和通脹預期超過目標，巴西央行可能會在兩年後首次上調利率。
In contrast, the U.S. central banking system just cut rates by a half percentage point Wednesday afternoon.
相比之下，美國中央銀行系統在週三下午削減了半個百分點的利率。
Brazilian policymakers led by Roberto Campos Neto will lift the benchmark Selic by 25 basis points to 10.75% late on Wednesday, according to 31 of 35 economists in a Bloomberg survey.
據彭博調查中的35名經濟學家中的31名預測，由羅伯託·坎波斯·尼託（Roberto Campos Neto）領導的巴西政策制定者將於週三晚間將基準利率Selic提高25個點子，至10.75%。
Two economists are forecasting a higher increase of 50 basis points the other two expect the rate to stay the same.
有兩名經濟學家預測將有更高的50個點子增長，另外兩名經濟學家預計利率將保持不變。
Most traders are expecting a rise of 25 basis points, with digital options at the local stock market pricing in a 15% chance of a 50 basis-point hike.
大多數交易員預計將會上調25個點子，本地股市的數字期權定價中包含了50個點子升息的15%可能性。
Latin America's largest economy differentiates itself from peer economies as its economic activity shows resilience to high borrowing costs. President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's increased public spending is boosting family income that is propped up supported by low unemployment.
與同行經濟體不同，拉丁美洲最大的經濟體顯示出對高借貸成本的抵抗能力。盧拉總統的增加公共支出正在提高家庭收入，這得到了低失業率的支撐。
Read Also: 50 Or 25 Bps Fed Rate Cut? Markets And Economists At Odds — What Does Steeper Reduction Mean For Investors?
閱讀更多：50或25個點子的聯邦基準利率下調？市場和經濟學家爭議不休——更陡的減息對投資者意味着什麼？
A resilient economy along with questions about the government's commitment to fiscal responsibility are feeding into inflation projections which are above the 3% goal through 2027.
強勁的經濟以及對政府履行財政責任承諾的質疑，正在影響通脹預期，這些預期超過了到2027年的3%目標。
"Brazil's central bank is widely expected to embark on a hiking cycle on Wednesday, but there's plenty of questions that the post-meeting communication could clarify," said Adriana Dupita, Brazil and Argentina economist for Bloomberg Economics.
「巴西央行被普遍預計將在週三啓動加息週期，但有很多問題需要在會後溝通中澄清，」彭博經濟學(Bloomberg Economics)的巴西和阿根廷經濟學家阿德里安娜·杜皮塔(Adriana Dupita)表示。
"W expect the BCB to strike a delicate balance as it aims for a hawkish tone to curb inflation expectations, flexibility to adjust the rate path on new data and to push back on market pricing for aggressive hikes. Achieving all three is a tall task."
「我們預計巴西央行將在尋求鷹派立場以遏制通脹預期的同時，靈活調整利率路徑，並抵制市場對激進加息的定價。實現這三點是一項艱鉅任務。」
Price Action: Brazil exchange-traded funds saw gsins and losses into Wednesday's early-afternoon trading.
價格走勢：巴西交易所交易基金在週三上午交易中出現了漲跌。
- IShares MSCI Brazil ETF (NYSE:EWZ) slipped 0.75%
- Franklin FTSE Brazil ETF (NYSE:FLBR) fell 0.63%
- iShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap ETF (NASDAQ:EWZS) went up 0.03%
- 巴西etf-ishares MSCI(紐交所:EWZ)下跌0.75%
- 富蘭克林FTSE巴西ETF(紐交所:FLBR)下跌0.63%
- 納斯達克：ishares巴西小盤股etf(納斯達克:EWZS)上漲0.03%
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Image: Shutterstock
圖片：shutterstock
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
