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Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

南方銅業公司(紐交所:SCCO)股價一直在下滑,但基本面看起來不錯:市場會在未來糾正股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/14 21:47

Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.6%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Southern Copper's ROE today.

南方銅業(NYSE:SCCO)的股價在過去三個月中下跌了6.6%。然而,該公司的基本面看起來相當不錯,長期財務數據通常與未來市場價格的走勢相一致。特別是,我們將會關注南方銅業的roe今天。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(淨資產收益率)是股東需考慮的一個重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本被有效地再投資的效果如何。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Southern Copper is:

所以,根據上述公式,南方銅業的roe爲:

32% = US$2.8b ÷ US$8.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

32% = 28億美元 ÷ 86億美元 (基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.32 in profit.

「回報率」是過去12個月的利潤。可以將其概念化爲,對於每1美元股東資本,公司獲得了0.32美元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是公司盈利能力的一種衡量標準。根據公司選擇重新投資或「留存」的利潤比例,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。其他條件不變的情況下,roe和盈利留存越高,相較於不具備這些特徵的公司,企業的增長率越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Southern Copper's Earnings Growth And 32% ROE

南方銅業的盈利增長和32%的roe的並列比較

To begin with, Southern Copper has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 9.8% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. Probably as a result of this, Southern Copper was able to see a decent net income growth of 14% over the last five years.

首先,南方銅業的roe相當高,這很有意思。其次,與行業平均roe的9.8%進行比較,也引起了我們的注意。可能因爲這個原因,南方銅業在過去五年中實現了14%的淨利潤增長。

As a next step, we compared Southern Copper's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 24% in the same period.

接下來,我們將南方銅業的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,非常失望地發現公司的增長率低於同期行業平均增長率24%。

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NYSE:SCCO Past Earnings Growth September 14th 2024
紐交所:SCCO過去的盈利增長截至2024年9月14日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for SCCO? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

盈利增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者應該努力確定預期的盈利增長或下降是否已經定價。這樣做將有助於他們確定股票的未來看起來是充滿希望還是不祥。市場是否已經爲南方銅業的未來展望定價?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is Southern Copper Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

南方銅業是否有效利用其留存收益?

While Southern Copper has a three-year median payout ratio of 94% (which means it retains 6.1% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

雖然南方銅業的三年中位數分紅比率爲94%(這意味着它留存了6.1%的利潤),但公司過去仍然實現了相當大的盈利增長,這意味着其高分紅比率並沒有妨礙其增長能力。

Besides, Southern Copper has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 73% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 42%, over the same period.

此外,南方銅業至少已連續十年以上支付股息。這表明公司致力於與股東分享利潤。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,公司未來的分紅比率預計在未來三年內將下降到73%。因此,分紅比率的預期下降解釋了同期公司roe的預期增長至42%。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that Southern Copper has some positive attributes. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, probably due to its high returns. However, it does reinvest little to almost none of its profits, so we wonder what effect this could have on its future growth prospects. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們確實認爲南方銅業有一些積極的特點。如前所述,其盈利增長相當可觀,可能是由於其較高的roe。然而,該公司幾乎沒有將利潤進行再投資,因此我們想知道這可能對其未來的增長前景有何影響。即便如此,根據當前的分析師預測,該公司的盈利增長預計將放緩。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?請點擊這裏查看我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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