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BINJIANG SERVICE(3316.HK):SOLID 1H24 WITH BALANCED SOURCES OF GROWTH MAINTAIN BUY

BINJIANG SERVICE(3316.HK):SOLID 1H24 WITH BALANCED SOURCES OF GROWTH MAINTAIN BUY

濱江服務(3316.HK):1H24穩健增長以及平衡的增長來源,繼續買入
09/10

Binjiang Services reported solid 1H24 results with revenue/NP grew 39%/15% YoY. GP margin (GPM) narrowed 1.2ppts since furnishing services with lower margin accounted for higher proportion in revenue. Tax rate hiked 6ppts due to provision for withholding tax. We think the Company has balanced sources to support GFA growth which is healthier than peers amid the challenging environment. We maintain BUY with TP trimmed by 4% to HK$32.94, representing 15x 2024E P/E.

濱江服務公佈了穩健的24年上半年業績,收入/淨利潤同比增長39%/15%。由於以較低的利潤率提供服務在收入中所佔的比例更高,GPM(GPM)縮小了1.2個百分點。由於預扣稅的規定,稅率提高了6個百分點。我們認爲,公司擁有平衡的資源來支持GFA的增長,在充滿挑戰的環境中,GFA的增長比同行更健康。我們維持買入,目標價下調4%,至32.94港元,相當於2024年市盈率的15倍。

Solid results in 1H24. Revenue grew 39% YoY to RMB1.65bn buoyed by 1) reliable performance of basic PM that grew 26% YoY, 2) strong output in Owner VAS segment that rose 159% YoY given that furnishing services sustained high growth momentum. VAS to developers contracted 10% YoY given less property development business from parentco. GPM narrowed by 1.2ppts to 25.6% since furnishing services with lower margin took a larger proportion in revenue. Tax rate hiked 6ppts to 30.5% due to the provision of withholding tax, which led to a 3.3ppt contraction in NP margin, representing a 15% YoY increase in NP. The Company highlighted that the sustainability of the growth of furnishing services is secured by RMB 1.27bn of contract liabilities. We think this will bring continued pressure on margins.

24 年上半年業績良好。收入同比增長39%,至16.5億元人民幣,這得益於1)基本產品經理的可靠表現,同比增長26%;2)鑑於傢俱服務持續高增長勢頭,所有者增值服務板塊的強勁產出同比增長159%。鑑於母公司的房地產開發業務減少,向開發商提供的增值服務同比收縮了10%。GpM收窄了1.2個百分點至25.6%,因爲以較低的利潤率提供服務在收入中所佔的比例更大。由於預扣稅的提供,稅率上調了6個百分點至30.5%,這導致NP利潤率下降了3.3個百分點,相當於NP同比增長了15%。該公司強調,12.7億元人民幣的合同負債保障了傢俱服務增長的可持續性。我們認爲這將給利潤帶來持續的壓力。

Balanced sources foster healthy GFA growth. Managed-GFA expanded 30% YoY in 1H24. Of the net increase, 35% came from parentco. and 65% from third parties. The net increase of GFA from parentco. grew 13% YoY, while that from third parties grew 29% YoY, collectively driving a 23% YoY rise in total net increase of managed GFA. The Company sustained stable growth from both sources, avoiding over-reliance amid challenging environment (reduction of development scale and intensifying completion of third party projects), which we view as a healthy expansion strategy. The Company expects to deliver 20-30% growth in managed-GFA in 2024E.

均衡的來源促進了GFA的健康增長。管理總建築面積在24年上半年同比增長了30%。在淨增長中,35%來自母公司。65%來自第三方。母公司的GFA淨增長同比增長13%,而來自第三方的GFA淨增長同比增長29%,共同推動管理的GFA總淨增長同比增長23%。公司在兩個來源上都保持了穩定的增長,避免了在充滿挑戰的環境(開發規模縮小和第三方項目加緊完成)中過度依賴,我們認爲這是一項健康的擴張戰略。該公司預計,到2024E年,管理總建築面積將增長20-30%。

Growth of receivables in normal range. Total receivables increased 44% YoY, slightly outpacing revenue growth of 38%. Given the seasonal nature of PM fee collections, the rate is considered normal.

應收賬款在正常範圍內的增長。應收賬款總額同比增長44%,略高於38%的收入增長。鑑於Pm費收取的季節性質,該費率被認爲是正常的。

Valuation. We lowered our forecasts on NP by 7-13% in 2024-25E to reflect challenging environment and intensifying competition in third party expansion. Combined with adjustment of FX rate applied, our TP was lowered by 4% to HK$32.94, representing 15x 2024E P/E. We maintain BUY rating given the Company's balanced sources of growth. Risks: AR impairment, and slower-than-expected GFA expansion.

估值。我們將2024-25年美國國民生產總值的預測下調了7-13%,以反映充滿挑戰的環境和第三方擴張競爭的加劇。加上對外匯匯率的調整,我們的目標下調了4%,至32.94港元,相當於2024年市盈率的15倍。鑑於公司均衡的增長來源,我們維持買入評級。風險:AR 減值,GFA 擴張速度低於預期。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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