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Pulling Back 8.3% This Week, Glacier Bancorp's NYSE:GBCI) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 8.3% This Week, Glacier Bancorp's NYSE:GBCI) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

冰川萬通金控(NYSE:GBCI)本週下跌8.3%,該公司一年內的收益下滑可能引起投資者的關注。
Simply Wall St ·  09/08 22:17

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:GBCI) share price is 51% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 19% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! In contrast, the longer term returns are negative, since the share price is 14% lower than it was three years ago.

投資股票的最簡單方式是購買交易所交易基金。但是,投資者可以通過選擇市場勝出的公司來提高回報,持有其股份。以冰川萬通金控(紐交所:GBCI)爲例,其股價比一年前上漲了51%,大大超過了同期市場回報率(不包括分紅)的19%。如果它能持續在長期內保持這種超過市場的表現,投資者將會得到很好的回報!相比之下,從較長期來看,回報率是負的,因爲股價比三年前下跌了14%。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 8.3%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近出現了8.3%的回調,讓我們來檢查一下基本面是否與股價相符。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:「短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機」。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Over the last twelve months, Glacier Bancorp actually shrank its EPS by 34%.

在過去的十二個月中,冰川萬通金控的每股收益實際上下降了34%。

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

考慮到股價的上漲,我們懷疑市場不是根據每股收益來衡量公司的進展。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得查看其他指標。

Unfortunately Glacier Bancorp's fell 10% over twelve months. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

不幸的是,冰川萬通金控的股價在12個月內下跌了10%。所以基本指標並沒有明顯解釋股價上漲的原因。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

big
NYSE:GBCI Earnings and Revenue Growth September 8th 2024
紐交所: 冰川萬通金控收入和盈利增長率 2024年9月8日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Glacier Bancorp

值得一提的是,冰川萬通金控的CEO收入低於同等規模公司的中位數。但是,雖然CEO薪酬值得檢查,真正重要的問題是公司能否實現盈利增長。這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應該能幫助您形成對冰川萬通金控的看法。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Glacier Bancorp the TSR over the last 1 year was 57%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

對於任何一隻股票,考慮總股東回報和股價回報非常重要。股東回報率(TSR)是一個綜合考慮現金股息價值(假設任何股息收到後都會再投資)、任何折現後的融資和資產剝離的計算值的回報計算。可以說,TSR給出了股票產生的回報的更全面的圖片。我們注意到,冰川萬通金控在過去的1年裏的TSR爲57%,比上述股價回報更好。而且毫無疑問,分紅派息在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's good to see that Glacier Bancorp has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 57% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 4% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Glacier Bancorp , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高興看到冰川萬通金控過去12個月股東獲得57%的總股東回報,其中包括分紅派息。由於一年的股東總回報率優於五年的回報率(後者爲每年4%),似乎該股的業績近期有所提高。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務動力,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。我發現長期來看股價作爲業務表現的一種代理是非常有趣的,但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,需考慮投資風險的存在。我們已經識別出冰川萬通金控的2個風險警示標識,理解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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