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Has Amdocs Limited's (NASDAQ:DOX) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has Amdocs Limited's (NASDAQ:DOX) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Amdocs有限公司(納斯達克:DOX)的出色股票表現是否與其基本面有關?
Simply Wall St ·  09/07 21:33

Most readers would already be aware that Amdocs' (NASDAQ:DOX) stock increased significantly by 11% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Amdocs' ROE today.

大多數讀者可能已經注意到,Amdocs(納斯達克:DOX)的股價在過去三個月裏大幅上漲了11%。我們想知道公司的財務狀況是否在股價變動中扮演了什麼角色,因爲一家公司的長期基本面通常決定了市場的結果。特別是,我們將關注Amdocs今天的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(ROE)是衡量公司增值和管理投資者資金有效性的測試。換句話說,它是一種盈利能力比率,用於衡量公司股東提供的資金回報率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Amdocs is:

所以,根據上述公式,Amdocs的roe爲:

14% = US$512m ÷ US$3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

14% = 51200萬美元 ÷ 350億美元(截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.14.

「回報」是指過去12個月的利潤。這意味着,對於每1美元的股東投資,該公司將獲得0.14美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,roe可以作爲一種有效的衡量公司未來盈利能力的指標。現在我們需要評估公司再投資或「保留」的利潤有多少,這就給我們提供了有關公司增長潛力的想法。假設其他一切不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比。

A Side By Side comparison of Amdocs' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

與Amdocs盈利增長和14%的ROE的並排對比

To begin with, Amdocs seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. Despite this, Amdocs' five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. So, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,Amdocs的ROE似乎相當可觀。此外,該公司的ROE與13%的行業平均水平相似。儘管如此,Amdocs過去五年的淨利潤增長相當平穩。因此,可能有一些其他方面可能正在阻止公司增長,例如,公司將其收益的大部分作爲股息派發,或者面臨競爭壓力。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Amdocs' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 8.3% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下來,與行業淨利潤增長進行比較,我們發現Amdocs的報告增長低於過去幾年8.3%的行業增長,這並不是我們樂見的。

big
NasdaqGS:DOX Past Earnings Growth September 7th 2024
納斯達克GS:DOX過去盈利增長2024年9月7日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is DOX fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來說,了解市場是否已經將公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)計價在內是很重要的。通過這樣做,他們將會知道股票是走向清澈的藍水還是沼澤水。DOX是否被合理估值?這份公司內在價值的信息圖表上有你需要知道的一切。

Is Amdocs Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

amdocs是否高效地再投資其利潤?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 35% (meaning the company retains65% of profits) in the last three-year period, Amdocs' earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管在過去的三年期間,amdocs的中位數派息比率適中,爲35%(這意味着公司保留了65%的利潤),但其盈利增長几乎持平。因此,可能有一些其他原因解釋了這種缺乏。例如,該業務可能正在衰退。

Additionally, Amdocs has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 29% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Amdocs' future ROE will rise to 20% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,amdocs在至少過去十年裏支付了股息,這意味着公司管理層決心支付股息,即使這意味着幾乎沒有盈利增長。根據最新的分析師共識數據,我們發現公司在未來三年內預計將支付約29%的利潤。然而,預測表明儘管公司的派息比率不會發生太大變化,amdocs未來的roe將達到20%。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like Amdocs has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體來看,Amdocs的業務確實有一些積極因素。儘管如此,我們對利潤的增長缺乏滿意,即使ROE和再投資率都很高。我們認爲可能有一些外部因素對業務產生了負面影響。即便如此,根據當前的分析師預測,我們發現公司的盈利預計將獲得勢頭。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期還是公司的基本面?請點擊此處查看我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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