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The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Westlake (NYSE:WLK) Shareholders as Stock Falls 3.4% Over the Past Week

The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Westlake (NYSE:WLK) Shareholders as Stock Falls 3.4% Over the Past Week

五年來收益下降可能已經對westlake(紐交所:WLK)股東造成重大影響,股票在過去一週下跌了3.4%。
Simply Wall St ·  09/02 18:50

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term Westlake Corporation (NYSE:WLK) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 128% in five years. It's down 3.4% in the last seven days.

買入公司股票後(假設沒有使用槓桿),最糟糕的結果就是你失去了所有投入的資金。但是好的公司股票價格可以上漲100%以上。長揸西湖公司(西湖公司紐交所代碼:WLK)的股東應該對此有所了解,因爲該股票在過去五年中上漲了128%。在過去七天時間中下跌了3.4%。

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

雖然過去的一週削弱了公司的五年回報,但讓我們看看業務的最近趨勢,並查看收益是否已對齊。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

儘管市場是一個強大的價格機制,但股票價格反映的不僅是潛在業務績效,還反映了投資者的情緒。 了解市場情緒隨時間的變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

During five years of share price growth, Westlake actually saw its EPS drop 15% per year.

在五年的股價上漲期間,西湖公司的每股收益實際上每年下降15%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

基本上,投資者似乎並未關注每股收益。因爲每股收益似乎與股價不匹配,所以我們將查看其他指標。

We doubt the modest 1.4% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 14% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Westlake is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

我們懷疑僅有1.4%的股息收益率並不會吸引太多買家購買股票。相比之下,每年14%的營業收入增長被認爲是Westlake正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。目前管理層可能更加看重營業收入增長而非每股收益的增長。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

big
NYSE:WLK Earnings and Revenue Growth September 2nd 2024
紐交所:WLk收益和營業收入增長2024年9月2日

Westlake is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

Westlake被投資者熟知,許多聰明的分析師試圖預測未來的利潤水平。鑑於我們有相當多的分析師預測數據,免費圖表呈現的共識預測可能很值得一看。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Westlake, it has a TSR of 145% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。TSR包括任何分拆或折價增發的價值,以及基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股價回報率高得多。在Westlake的情況下,過去5年的TSR達到了145%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。而且毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Westlake provided a TSR of 11% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 20% per year for five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Westlake that you should be aware of before investing here.

在過去的十二個月中,Westlake的TSR爲11%。但這未達到市場平均水平。如果我們回顧過去五年,回報率甚至更好,每年爲20%,連續五年。考慮到市場的持續積極反響,這可能是一個值得關注的業務。我覺得長期來看股價是企業表現的一個指標,這很有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,在在投資這裏之前,我們已經發現了2個Westlake的警示信號,你應該注意。

We will like Westlake better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大的內部買入,我們會更喜歡Westlake。在等待期間,可以查看這個免費的被低估的股票清單(主要是小市值股票),最近有相當多的內部交易。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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