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Is Amdocs (NASDAQ:DOX) A Risky Investment?

Is Amdocs (NASDAQ:DOX) A Risky Investment?

amdocs(納斯達克:DOX)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 19:42

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,比起擔心股價波動,「永久喪失的可能性才是我擔心的風險……每個實踐的投資者都是這樣擔心的」。當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務利用情況,因爲債務負擔過大會導致破產。我們可以看到納斯達克上的amdocs公司(DOX)在業務中確實使用了債務,但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕易償還債務時,即通過籌集資本或使用自身現金流量進行償還時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能最終一無所獲。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司因債權人被迫以突擊價格籌集資本而永久稀釋股東。當然,很多公司使用債務進行增長資金籌集,並沒有任何負面影響。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,我們首先看現金和債務的結合。

How Much Debt Does Amdocs Carry?

amdocs公司的債務有多少?

As you can see below, Amdocs had US$646.1m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$502.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$144.0m.

正如下面所示,截至2024年6月,amdocs公司負債646.1百萬美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更詳細的信息。另一方面,它有5,022百萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲1.44億美元。

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NasdaqGS:DOX Debt to Equity History August 20th 2024
納斯達克上的DOX股票資本結構歷史債務股本比於2024年8月20日。

How Strong Is Amdocs' Balance Sheet?

amdocs公司的資產負債表強度如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Amdocs had liabilities of US$1.42b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.43b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$502.2m and US$1.02b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.33b.

從最新的資產負債表中可以看出,amdocs公司的短期到期負債爲1.42億美元,長期到期負債爲1.43億美元。另一方面,該公司有5,022百萬美元的現金和10.2億美元的應收賬款到期。因此,其負債超過了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和達1.33億美元。給定amdocs公司的市值爲9.72億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債使我們建議股東繼續密切關注資產負債表的情況。作爲一個幾乎沒有淨債務的公司,amdocs公司的債務負擔非常輕。

Given Amdocs has a market capitalization of US$9.72b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Amdocs has a very light debt load indeed.

amdocs公司的淨債務/息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率只有0.15。而其EBIT完全覆蓋了其利息支出,規模爲58.2倍。所以,我們對其超級保守的債務使用非常放心。好消息是,amdocs公司在過去12個月內將其EBIT增長了4.7%,這應該能緩解對債務償還的擔憂。當您分析債務時,財務狀況表顯然是需要關注的領域。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定amdocs公司能否逐步加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的意見,您可能會發現這份免費的分析師盈利預測報告非常有趣。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。

Amdocs has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.15. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 58.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that Amdocs has increased its EBIT by 4.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Amdocs can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

值得慶幸的是,amdocs公司的EBIT利息保障倍數表明它在債務方面佔據上風。更好的消息是,其EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的情況也非常令人滿意。總的來說,amdocs公司在債務使用方面似乎相當合理;我們對此持肯定態度。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。在大多數其他指標之上,我們認爲跟蹤每股收益的增長速度(如果有)是很重要的。如果您也意識到了這一點,您很幸運,因爲今天您可以免費查看amdocs公司每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Amdocs recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,一家公司只能用冷酷的現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。因此,值得檢查的是EBIT有多少得到了自由現金流的支持。在過去三年中,amdocs公司錄得的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIT的85%,這比我們通常預期的要強。如果需要償還債務,這使它的償債能力得到了很好的提升。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Amdocs's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, Amdocs seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Amdocs's earnings per share history for free.

值得慶幸的是,amdocs公司的利息覆蓋倍數印證了它在債務方面佔據優勢。而這只是好消息的開始,因爲其EBIT轉換爲自由現金流也非常令人欣慰。總的來說,amdocs公司的債務使用相當合理;這也得到了我們的點頭。畢竟,合理的負債槓桿可以提高股本回報率。我們認爲,比起大多數其他指標,跟蹤每股收益增長速度(如果有)至關重要。如果您也意識到了這一點,您很幸運,因爲今天您可以免費查看amdocs公司每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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