Beazer Homes USA (NYSE:BZH) Delivers Shareholders Solid 17% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 7.2% in the Last Week Alone
Beazer Homes USA (NYSE:BZH) Delivers Shareholders Solid 17% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 7.2% in the Last Week Alone
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:BZH) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 11% in the last month. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. We think most investors would be happy with the 116% return, over that period. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price. While the long term returns are impressive, we do have some sympathy for those who bought more recently, given the 16% drop, in the last year.
在過去一個月中,貝哲房屋USA股票價格下跌了11%,可能會讓(NYSE:BZH)股東感到擔憂. 但與此形成鮮明對比的是,在過去的五年中,回報率表現出色。我認爲,大多數投資者都會對那期間的116%回報率感到滿意。總的來說,長期回報將比短期更好地反映業務質量。只有時間才能告訴我們股價是否反映了過高的樂觀情緒。雖然長期回報令人印象深刻,我們對最近購買股票的投資者表示同情,因爲在過去一年中,股價下跌了16%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在穩定的七天表現之後,讓我們看看公司的基本面對長期股東回報的影響。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:短期內市場是一個投票機,但長期來看它是一個稱重機。評估公司周邊環境的情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During the five years of share price growth, Beazer Homes USA moved from a loss to profitability. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Beazer Homes USA share price has gained 60% in three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 13% per year. Notably, the EPS growth has been slower than the annualised share price gain of 17% over three years. So one can reasonably conclude the market is more enthusiastic about the stock than it was three years ago.
在五年內的股價增長中,貝哲房屋USA從賠錢到盈利。有時,贏利的開始是一個重要的拐點,可以預示着未來的盈利增長,進而證明非常強勁的股價增長是合理的。考慮到公司在三年前實現了盈利,但在五年前沒有實現盈利,看一下近三年股價回報率也是值得的。實際上,在過去三年中,貝哲房屋USA的股價上漲了60%。同時,每股收益每年增長13%。值得注意的是,EPS增長速度比過去三年的年化股價增長17%要慢。因此,我們可以合理地得出結論,市場比三年前更熱衷於這支股票。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market gained around 24% in the last year, Beazer Homes USA shareholders lost 16%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 17%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Beazer Homes USA better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Beazer Homes USA .
雖然整個市場在過去一年中上漲了約24%,但貝哲房屋USA股東的損失達到了16%。即使是好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對業務基本指標產生濃厚興趣之前能看到業務基本指標的改進。長期投資者不會如此沮喪,因爲他們在五年內每年獲得了17%的回報率。最近的拋售可能是一次機會,因此,值得檢查基本數據是否存在長期增長趨勢的跡象。跟蹤長期的股價表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地了解貝哲房屋USA,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,您應該注意到我們發現的2個貝哲房屋USA的警示信號。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。