Ryvyl Inc. (NASDAQ:RVYL) shares have had a horrible month, losing 38% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 86% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Ryvyl may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
NasdaqCM:RVYL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 15th 2024
How Ryvyl Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Ryvyl has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ryvyl will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ryvyl?
Ryvyl's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 78%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 6.0% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.5% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we are not surprised that Ryvyl is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What Does Ryvyl's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Ryvyl have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Ryvyl's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Ryvyl (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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