Funko, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
Funko, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
Investors in Funko, Inc. (NASDAQ:FNKO) had a good week, as its shares rose 9.9% to close at US$9.62 following the release of its second-quarter results. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 7.2% to hit US$248m. Funko also reported a statutory profit of US$0.10, which was a nice improvement from the loss that the analysts were predicting. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
納斯達克的Funko股票投資者們度過美好的一週,股票上漲9.9%,收盤價達到9.62美元,因其第二季度業績發佈。總體上來說,業績表現良好,營業收入超出預期7.2%,達到24800萬美元。Funko還報告了0.10美元的法定利潤,這是分析師此前預測的虧損的有力證明。隨着業績數據的發佈,分析師們更新了他們的收益預測模型展望,如果公司前景有所改變,或者還是老樣子,我們需要了解。於是我們收集了最新的業績後預測,查看分析師們對未來一年的預期。
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Taking into account the latest results, Funko's four analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be US$1.07b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 43% to US$0.47. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.07b and losses of US$0.40 per share in 2024. While this year's revenue estimates held steady, there was also a considerable increase in loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.
考慮到最新的業績數據,Funko的四位分析師們預計2024年的營業收入達到10.7億美元,與過去12個月基本持平。預計虧損將大幅縮水,降至0.47美元。但在最新的業績數據公佈之前,分析師們預計2024年的營業收入爲10.7億美元,並預計每股虧損0.40美元。雖然今年的營收預測保持平穩,但每股虧損預期卻出現了相當大的增長,這表明市場普遍對股票持有一種褒貶不一的看法。
Despite expectations of heavier losses next year,the analysts have lifted their price target 9.5% to US$10.13, perhaps implying these losses are not expected to be recurring over the long term. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Funko analyst has a price target of US$13.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$6.50. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
儘管預計明年的虧損更嚴重,但分析師們將其價格目標上調9.5%至10.13美元,可能意味着這些虧損不會在長期內持續下去。溝通價格目標的另一種方式是查看分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲廣泛的估計範圍可能表明對於公司未來可行性存在着不同的看法。最樂觀的Funko分析師的價格目標爲每股13.00美元,而最悲觀的分析師則將股票價值估計爲6.50美元。注意分析師價格目標中的相當大的差距嗎?這意味着公司的潛在業務情況存在着相當大的不確定性。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Funko's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Funko's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 0.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 12% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 2.8% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Funko.
這些預測很有意思,但當我們對比Funko的歷史表現和同行業公司(帶有分析師預測)時,籠統地繪製出一些更廣泛的輪廓,可能會更有用。顯而易見的是,人們普遍預期Funko的營收增長將急劇放緩,到2024年末,營收預計以年化0.6%的速度增長。相較過去五年的歷史增長率12%,這是很大的變化。與同行業公司的分析師預測相比,這些公司預計的年均營收增長率爲2.8%。因此,儘管預計營收增長將放緩,但預計整個行業增速仍將快於Funko。事實上,這是一種很難的選擇。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Funko's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
我們得出的最重要結論是分析師增加了其每股虧損的預測。幸運的是,分析師們也重新確認了其營業收入的預測,表明它符合預期。儘管我們的數據表明,Funko的營收預計表現比整個行業要糟糕得多。我們注意到了對Funko的價格目標的升級,這表明分析師認爲該公司的內在價值有望隨着時間的推移而提高。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Funko analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
記住,在投資者考慮積極的長期軌跡時,我們仍然認爲這家公司的未來更重要。我們有來自多個Funko分析師的預測,一直到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Funko (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
不要忘記,仍然可能存在風險。例如,我們已經確定Funko(有一個不應忽視的)3個預警信號你應該注意。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。