MoneyLion Inc. (NYSE:ML) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 31% share price drop in the last month. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 290% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about MoneyLion's P/S ratio of 1.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Consumer Finance industry in the United States is about the same. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
NYSE:ML Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024
What Does MoneyLion's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for MoneyLion as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on MoneyLion.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For MoneyLion?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like MoneyLion's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 22% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 32% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that MoneyLion is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From MoneyLion's P/S?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for MoneyLion looks to be in line with the rest of the Consumer Finance industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of MoneyLion's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with MoneyLion.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com