Patria Investments Limited Just Missed EPS By 98%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Patria Investments Limited Just Missed EPS By 98%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a sad week for Patria Investments Limited (NASDAQ:PAX), who've watched their investment drop 12% to US$11.52 in the week since the company reported its second-quarter result. Results overall were not great, with earnings of US$0.0053 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit US$75m and were slightly better than forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Patria Investments after the latest results.
對於Patria Investments Limited(NASDAQ:PAX)來說,過去一週是悲傷的,自公佈第二季度業績以來,股價已下跌12%至11.52美元。總體來說,業績不佳,每股收益爲0.0053美元,大大低於分析師預期。與此同時,營業收入達到7500萬美元,略好於預期。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要的時期,因爲他們可以在報告中跟蹤公司的業績,查看專家對明年的預測,並了解業務預期是否有任何變化。讀者會很高興得知,我們已彙總了最新的法定預測,看看最新業績對分析師對Patria Investments的看法是否有所改變。
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Patria Investments' four analysts is for revenues of US$348.4m in 2024. This would reflect a notable 10% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 86% to US$1.00. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$345.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.05 in 2024. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.
考慮到最新的業績,Patria Investments的四名分析師當前達成的共識是,2024年收入將達到34840萬美元。這將反映出其過去12個月的營業收入有了顯著的10%增長。預計法定每股收益將增長86%至1.00美元。然而,在最新的收益公佈之前,分析師們曾預期Patria Investments在2024年的營業收入爲34500萬美元,每股收益爲1.05美元。因此,看起來最近的結果導致了整體情緒的小幅下降-收入預測並未發生重大變化,但分析師們對每股收益預測進行了輕微下調。
The consensus price target held steady at US$18.11, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Patria Investments at US$23.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$14.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
共識價格目標保持穩定爲18.11美元,分析師似乎投票決定,他們預測的較低收益不會在可預見的未來導致股價下跌。考慮到分析師預測的範圍,審視分析師估計值的範圍,評估離群偏見與平均水平的差異,也是一種方法。目前,最看好的分析師將Patria Investments價值定爲每股23.00美元,而看淡的分析師則將其定爲每股14.00美元。正如您所看到的,分析師們並不都在股票未來方面達成一致意見,但估計值範圍仍然相當狹窄,這可能表明結果並非完全不可預測。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Patria Investments' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 21% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 16% per annum over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.4% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Patria Investments is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
另一種方法是將這些預測放在更大的背景下進行考慮,例如預測如何與過去的業績相比,以及預測相對於行業中其他公司是更加看好還是更加保守。分析師們絕對期望Patria Investments的增長加速,預測到2024年年化增長率爲21%,排名頗爲靠前,與過去三年的16%的年平均增長率相比也不遑多讓。相比之下,我們的數據表明,在同一行業中其他公司(有分析師覆蓋)的預測營收增長率爲每年5.4%。考慮到預測的營收加速,很明顯,Patria Investments的增速預期比行業快得多。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Patria Investments. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$18.11, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最大的問題在於,分析師降低了每股收益的估計,這表明Patria Investments可能會遇到業務阻力。幸運的是,他們也重新確認了營收數據,表明它符合預期。此外,我們的數據表明,預計營收增長速度將快於整個行業。共識價格目標保持穩定爲18.11美元,最新的預測數據沒有足夠的影響來影響其價格目標。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Patria Investments going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
儘管如此,公司的長期收益軌跡比明年更重要。在Simply Wall St上,我們擁有Patria Investments的各種分析師估計數據,至2026年,您可以在此免費查看。。
Before you take the next step you should know about the 3 warning signs for Patria Investments (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
在您繼續下一步之前,您應該了解Patria Investments的3個警示標誌(其中1個有點令人擔憂!)的情況,我們已經發現了。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。