Aehr Test Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:AEHR) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 67% share price jump in the last month. But the last month did very little to improve the 65% share price decline over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Aehr Test Systems' P/E ratio of 16.3x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in the United States is also close to 18x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Aehr Test Systems as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Aehr Test Systems, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Aehr Test Systems' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Aehr Test Systems' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 120% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Aehr Test Systems is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Aehr Test Systems' P/E
Aehr Test Systems' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Aehr Test Systems currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Aehr Test Systems (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).
If you're unsure about the strength of Aehr Test Systems' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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在過去的一個月裏,Aehr Test Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:AEHR)的股價上漲了67%,這讓股東們的耐心得到了回報。但是過去一年,股價下跌了65%,過去一個月並沒有什麼改善。
即使股價大幅上漲,你可能仍然對Aehr Test Systems的市盈率16.3x感到冷淡,因爲美國的中位數市盈率也接近18x。雖然這可能不會引起任何人的關注,但如果市盈率不能得到證明,投資者可能會錯過潛在的機會或忽視懸而未決的失望。
最近一段時間對Aehr Test Systems來說是相當有利的,因爲其盈利增長非常迅速。可能許多人認爲強勁的盈利表現將會減弱,這就使市盈率沒有上升。如果你喜歡這個公司,你會希望這不是事實,這樣你就有可能在它還沒有受歡迎的時候購買一些股票。
雖然沒有Aehr Test Systems的分析師預估數據,但可以查看這個免費的數據豐富的可視化,以了解公司在盈利、營業收入和現金流方面的表現。
Aehr Test Systems的增長趨勢如何?
有一個固有的假設,即Aehr Test Systems這樣的公司應該與市場的市盈率相匹配,才能被認爲是合理的。
這與預計在未來一年增長14%的市場形成對比,該增長率顯著高於該公司最近中期年化增長率。根據這些信息,我們發現Aehr Test Systems的市盈率與市場相當相似。顯然,該公司的許多投資者沒有最近的看淡者想象的那麼看淡,並且現在不願放棄他們的股票。如果市盈率下降到與最近增長率更相符合的水平,他們可能正在爲未來的失望做準備。
Aehr Test Systems的股票最近有很多勢頭,這使它的市盈率水平與市場持平。雖然市盈率不應該成爲購買或不購買股票的決定性因素,但它確實是盈利預期的重要指標。我們已經確定,Aehr Test Systems目前的市盈率高於預期,因爲它最近的三年增長率低於更廣泛的市場預測。當我們看到弱勢市盈率與緩慢的市場增長時,我們認爲股價有下跌的風險,將適度的市盈率下降。除非最近的中期狀況有所好轉,否則很難接受這些價格是合理的。
關於Aehr Test Systems的市盈率
Aehr Test Systems的股票最近有很多勢頭,這使它的市盈率水平與市場持平。雖然市盈率不應該成爲購買或不購買股票的決定性因素,但它確實是盈利預期的重要指標。
我們已經確定,Aehr Test Systems目前的市盈率高於預期,因爲它最近的三年增長率低於更廣泛的市場預測。當我們看到弱勢市盈率與緩慢的市場增長時,我們認爲股價有下跌的風險,將適度的市盈率下降。除非最近的中期狀況有所好轉,否則很難接受這些價格是合理的。此外,你還應該了解這3個警告信號,我們發現了Aehr Test Systems (包括1個不容忽視的警告信號)。
如果你不確定Aehr Test Systems業務的實力,爲什麼不探索我們的交互式股票清單,找出一些你可能錯過的其他公司,這些公司有堅實的業務基礎呢?
如果你對Aehr Test Systems業務的實力不確定,爲什麼不探索我們的交互式股票清單,找到一些你可能錯過的其他有堅實業務基礎的公司呢?