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Is Amer Sports (NYSE:AS) A Risky Investment?

Is Amer Sports (NYSE:AS) A Risky Investment?

Amer Sports(紐交所:AS)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  07/25 20:32

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Amer Sports, Inc. (NYSE:AS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

David Iben說得很好,“波動性並非我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久性損失。”因此,當您考慮任何給定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。我們注意到,Amer Sports, Inc. (NYSE:AS) 在其資產負債表上確實有債務。但股東們是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人,那麼它就會處在他們的擺佈下。在最糟糕的情況下,如果無法償還債務,則公司可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東,以控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務資金進行增長,沒有任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務的情況時,我們首先將現金和債務合併在一起進行審查。

What Is Amer Sports's Net Debt?

Amer Sports的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Amer Sports had debt of US$2.03b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$6.24b over a year. However, it does have US$337.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.69b.

下面的圖片(您可以點擊以獲取更多詳細信息)顯示,Amer Sports在2024年3月底的債務爲20.3億美元,比一年前的62.4億美元有所減少。但它確實有3,373萬美元的現金抵消這一點,導致淨債務約爲1.69億美元。

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NYSE:AS Debt to Equity History July 25th 2024
NYSE:AS資產負債歷史數據(2024年7月25日)

How Healthy Is Amer Sports' Balance Sheet?

Amer Sports的資產負債表健康狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Amer Sports had liabilities of US$1.11b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$3.04b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$337.3m and US$567.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$3.24b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔細審查最新資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Amer Sports應在12個月內償還1.11億美元的負債,並且還有30.4億美元的負債超過這個期限。另一方面,它還有3,373萬美元的現金和567.1萬美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多出3.24億美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Amer Sports is worth US$5.49b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

這個逆差並不那麼糟糕,因爲Amer Sports價值54.9億美元,因此如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資本來支持其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細檢查其償還債務的能力。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。

While Amer Sports's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.75, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Even worse, Amer Sports saw its EBIT tank 23% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Amer Sports's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

儘管Amer Sports的債務至EBITDA比率(4.0)表明其使用了一些債務,但其利息覆蓋率非常弱,爲0.75,表明負債率很高。似乎借款成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。更糟糕的是,Amer Sports過去12個月的EBIT下降了23%。如果未來收益繼續像現在這樣下滑,它就沒有可能償還債務了。顯然,資產負債表是需要關注的重點領域。但是,未來的收益而不是其他任何因素,將決定Amer Sports保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告感興趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Amer Sports reported free cash flow worth 9.4% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最後,雖然國家稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但債權人只接受冰冷的現金。因此,值得檢查有多少EBIT由自由現金流支持。在過去三年中,Amer Sports報告的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIT的9.4%,這是非常低的。這種低迷的現金轉化水平削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Amer Sports's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. Overall, it seems to us that Amer Sports's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. Given the risks around Amer Sports's use of debt, the sensible thing to do is to check if insiders have been unloading the stock.

從表面上看,Amer Sports的利息覆蓋率使我們對股票感到不確定,其EBIT增長率並不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚上空無一人的餐廳更具吸引力。即使它的淨債務至EBITDA也沒有激發太多信心。總的來說,我們認爲Amer Sports的資產負債表對企業構成了相當大的風險。因此,我們對該股票持謹慎態度,認爲股東應該密切關注其流動性。考慮到Amer Sports使用債務的風險,明智的做法是檢查內部人員是否一直在出售該股票。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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