NetApp, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NTAP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for NetApp as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
NasdaqGS:NTAP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on NetApp.
Is There Enough Growth For NetApp?
NetApp's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 46% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.3% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that NetApp's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From NetApp's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of NetApp's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware NetApp is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than NetApp. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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