Should You Investigate Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) At US$178?
Should You Investigate Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) At US$178?
Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 17% on the NYSE over the last few months. The company's trading levels have approached the yearly peak, following the recent bounce in the share price. As a US$5.7b market cap stock, it seems odd Moog is not more well-covered by analysts. However, this is not necessarily a bad thing given that there are less eyes on the stock to push it closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Moog's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
Moog公司(NYSE: MOG.A)並不是一家大盤股,但它在紐交所上看到了17%的相對良好股價增長,在股價最近反彈後,它的交易水平已接近全年峯值。作爲一家市值57億美元的公司,Moog公司沒有受到更多分析師的關注似乎有些奇怪。然而,鑑於對該股的關注更少,它更難以接近公正價值並不一定是件壞事。現在是否有買入的機會?讓我們根據最近的財務數據來看看Moog公司的前景和價值,看看機會是否仍然存在。
What Is Moog Worth?
Moog公司價值是多少?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 30.05x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 35.53x, which means if you buy Moog today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Moog should be trading at this level in the long run, then there's not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Moog's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
根據我們的價格倍數模型,目前該股的股價看起來是合理的,我們將公司的市盈率與行業平均市盈率進行了比較。在本例中,我們使用市盈率是因爲還沒有足夠的可見性來預測現金流。該股的市盈率爲30.05倍,目前略低於其行業同行的35.53倍,這意味着如果今天購買Moog公司股票,您將以合理的價格購買到它。如果您相信Moog公司從長遠來看應該以這個價位交易,那麼您不會獲得超過其他同行業公司的額外收益。雖然未來可能還會有買入機會。這是因爲Moog公司的beta(股價波動的一種衡量指標)很高,這意味着其價格波動將相對於市場其他股票更加誇張。如果市場看淡,該公司的股價可能會比整個市場下跌更多,這將提供一個主要的買入機會。
What kind of growth will Moog generate?
Moog公司將產生何種增長?
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Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Moog's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 51%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
投資者在購買股票之前,應該考慮該公司的前景。儘管價值投資者會認爲相對於價格的內在價值最爲重要,但更有說服力的投資論點是在低價格下具有高增長潛力。Moog的未來幾年的盈利預計將增加51%,預示着一個充滿希望的未來。這應該會導致更強勁的現金流,反哺更高的股票價值。
What This Means For You
這對您意味着什麼?
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in MOG.A's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at MOG.A? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
您是一位股東嗎?市場似乎已經考慮到了MOG.A的積極前景,股票交易價格接近行業價格倍數。然而,還有其他一些重要因素我們今天沒有考慮,例如管理團隊的業績記錄。自您上次關注MOG.A以來,這些因素是否發生了變化?如果價格在行業市盈率以下波動,您是否有足夠的信心購買?
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on MOG.A, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for MOG.A, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
您是一名潛在投資者嗎?如果您一直在關注MOG.A,現在可能不是最優惠的購買時機,因爲它的股票價格已接近行業價格倍數。然而,積極的預測對MOG.A來說是鼓舞人心的,這意味着值得進一步考慮其他因素,比如其資產負債表的強度,以便利用下一波價格下跌的機會。
So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Moog and we think they deserve your attention.
因此,如果您想深入了解該股票,必須考慮其所面臨的所有風險。在Simply Wall St上,我們找到了一條關於Moog的警示信息,我們認爲它們值得您的關注。
If you are no longer interested in Moog, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您對Moog不再感興趣,請使用我們的免費平台查看我們的其他超過50只具有高增長潛力的股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。