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Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (NYSE:WAB) A Risky Investment?

Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (NYSE:WAB) A Risky Investment?

美國西屋制動科技公司(NYSE:WAB)是否是一項有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 20:47

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (NYSE:WAB) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

正如David Iben所說,“波動性並非我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免永久性的資本損失。” 當我們考慮一家公司的風險程度時,往往會關注它的債務使用情況,因爲過重的債務負擔會導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,美國西屋制動科技公司 (NYSE: WAB)在借入資本方面積極行動,但更重要的問題是:這些借入資本所帶來的風險有多大?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

總的來說,當一家公司無法輕易償還債務時,即使通過籌集資本或使用自己的現金流來償還債務,負債也只會成爲一個真正的問題。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有。雖然這種情況不太常見,但我們經常會看到負債累累的公司因爲債權人迫使它們以低迷價格籌集資金,從而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,負債的好處是它通常代表了廉價的資本,尤其是當它代替了公司具有高回報率的再投資時。當我們檢查負債水平時,我們首先考慮現金和負債水平的綜合。

How Much Debt Does Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Carry?

美國西屋制動科技公司承受了多少債務壓力?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies had US$4.00b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$634.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.37b.

下圖顯示,在2024年3月,美國西屋制動科技公司的債務總額達到了40億美元,與前一年相當。然而,由於公司擁有6,340萬美元的現金儲備,因此其淨債務規模更低,約爲33.7億美元。

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NYSE:WAB Debt to Equity History July 11th 2024
NYSE:WAB的資產負債歷史走勢圖(2024年7月11日)

How Strong Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies' Balance Sheet?

美國西屋制動科技公司的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies had liabilities of US$3.15b due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.09b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$634.0m in cash and US$1.54b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$6.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,美國西屋制動科技公司所面臨的到期債務包括一年內到期的31.5億美元及此後到期的50.9億美元。相應地,公司擁有6,340萬美元的現金和15.4億美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,公司的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出約607億美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies is worth a massive US$27.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

這種赤字並不算太糟糕,因爲美國西屋制動科技公司的市值高達277億美元,所以如果需要,公司很可能能夠籌集足夠的資金來支持其資產負債表。但顯然我們需要仔細審查其是否能夠在不經歷股權稀釋的情況下管理其債務。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

卡比海運的淨債務爲1.7倍EBITDA,這表明它很好地利用了債務。 同時,EBIT利息覆蓋(7.3倍)也證明卡比海運的利潤完全足以支付管理費和計息費。此外,卡比海運過去12個月EBIT增長了64%,這種增長將使其更容易處理其債務。通過財務報表,我們確信該公司對債務的運用是明智的。然而,確保公司未來的盈利能力才是最終關鍵,這將決定卡比海運能否逐漸加強其資產負債表。此外,自由現金流還將幫助我們檢查公司的出現的任何偏離預期的現金流。

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.7, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.1 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. It is well worth noting that Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 32% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

美國西屋制動科技公司的債務與息稅前利潤比爲1.7倍,借貸使用得當,且其過去12個月的息稅前利潤爲其利息支出的7.1倍。值得注意的是,美國西屋制動科技公司的息稅前利潤在過去12個月內增長了32%,這將有助於公司更好地管理其債務。分析債務時,應重點關注資產負債表,但更重要的是未來的收益,這將決定美國西屋制動科技公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您更關注公司的未來,可以查看這份免費報告,了解分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 81% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,儘管稅收機關可能喜歡盈利,但貸款人只接受冷硬的現金。因此,邏輯上應該考慮實際自由現金流量所匹配的息稅前利潤佔比。過去三年中,美國西屋制動科技公司的自由現金流量價值爲其息稅前利潤的81%,這比我們通常預期的要強。這使公司有能力償還債務,如果必要的話。令人高興的是,美國西屋制動科技公司令人信服的利潤轉化爲自由現金流量的能力表明,公司在債務方面不會失去控制,這只是好消息的開頭。此外,其息稅前利潤增長率也非常令人鼓舞。總體而言,我們認爲美國西屋制動科技公司的借債程度似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔憂。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。毫無疑問,資產負債表是了解債務的最佳方式。但最終,除了資產負債表之外,每家公司還可能存在超出資產負債表的風險。例如,我們在這裏發現了1個警告信號,關於美國西屋制動科技公司的潛在投資風險,請您關注。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies that you should be aware of before investing here.

令人高興的是,美國西屋制動科技公司驚人的息稅前利潤轉化爲自由現金流的能力強烈暗示其在債務方面佔據優勢。而且這只是好消息的開始,因爲其息稅前利潤增長率也非常令人鼓舞。總體而言,我們認爲美國西屋制動科技公司的借債程度似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔憂。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。毫無疑問,資產負債表是了解債務的最佳方式。但最終,除了資產負債表之外,每家公司還可能存在超出資產負債表的風險。例如,我們在這裏發現了1個警告信號,關於美國西屋制動科技公司的潛在投資風險,請您關注。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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