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Is ESCO Technologies (NYSE:ESE) A Risky Investment?

Is ESCO Technologies (NYSE:ESE) A Risky Investment?

esco科技(紐交所:ESE)是否是一項有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/07 22:50

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that ESCO Technologies Inc. (NYSE:ESE) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,ESCO Technologies Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:ESE)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is ESCO Technologies's Net Debt?

ESCO科技公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 ESCO Technologies had debt of US$191.0m, up from US$161.0m in one year. However, it also had US$59.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$131.6m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年3月,ESCO Technologies的債務爲1.91億美元,高於一年的1.61億美元。但是,它也有5,940萬美元的現金,因此其淨負債爲1.316億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ESE Debt to Equity History July 7th 2024
紐約證券交易所:ESE 債務與股本比率的歷史記錄 2024 年 7 月 7 日

How Strong Is ESCO Technologies' Balance Sheet?

ESCO Technologies的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ESCO Technologies had liabilities of US$288.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$328.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$59.4m as well as receivables valued at US$326.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$231.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,ESCO Technologies的負債爲2.889億美元,12個月以後到期的負債爲3.289億美元。除這些債務外,它有5,940萬美元的現金以及價值3.268億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出2.315億美元。

Since publicly traded ESCO Technologies shares are worth a total of US$2.65b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由於公開交易的ESCO Technologies股票總價值爲26.5億美元,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

ESCO Technologies's net debt is only 0.69 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that ESCO Technologies grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ESCO Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

ESCO 科技的淨負債僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的0.69倍。而且其息稅前利潤很容易彌補其利息支出,是其規模的12.9倍。因此,我們對它超保守的債務使用相當放鬆。我們還熱烈地注意到,ESCO Technologies去年的息稅前利潤增長了15%,使其債務負擔更易於處理。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定ESCO Technologies能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, ESCO Technologies recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究該息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,ESCO Technologies記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的52%,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, ESCO Technologies's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like ESCO Technologies is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of ESCO Technologies's earnings per share history for free.

令人高興的是,ESCO Technologies令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着其債務佔了上風。好消息不止於此,因爲其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例也支持了這種印象!當我們考慮上述一系列因素時,ESCO Technologies使用債務似乎相當明智。這意味着他們正在承擔更多的風險,希望提高股東的回報。除了大多數其他指標外,我們認爲追蹤每股收益的增長速度非常重要。如果你也意識到了這一點,那你很幸運,因爲今天你可以免費查看這張ESCO Technologies每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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