share_log

Is Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) A Risky Investment?

Is Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) A Risky Investment?

frontdoor(納斯達克:FTDR)是否是有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 19:55

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

著名基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本虧損。”當你研究一個公司的風險時,考慮到該公司是否存在債務問題是很自然的事情,因爲債務通常是企業破產的原因之一。和許多其他公司一樣,納斯達克上市公司Frontdoor,Inc.(NASDAQ:FTDR)也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人的債務,那麼它存在於債權人的威懾之下。在最壞的情況下,如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼公司可能會破產。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲債權人強制他們以破產價格發行股票而永久性地稀釋了股東的所有權。儘管如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理了債務,並對其產生了利益。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Frontdoor's Debt?

Frontdoor的債務情況如何?

As you can see below, Frontdoor had US$590.0m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$384.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$206.0m.

從下面可以看出,Frontdoor在2024年3月有59000萬美元的債務,與去年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但它有38400萬美元的現金可以抵消這些債務,因此淨債務約爲20600萬美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:FTDR Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024
納斯達克股市:FTDR負債/股本歷史 2024年7月5日

How Healthy Is Frontdoor's Balance Sheet?

Frontdoor的資產負債表狀況如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Frontdoor had liabilities of US$360.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$624.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$384.0m in cash and US$4.00m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$596.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

從最近的資產負債表可以看出,Frontdoor的短期負債爲36000萬美元,長期負債爲62400萬美元。抵銷這些負債,它有38400萬美元的現金和400萬美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額超過其現金和短期應收賬款的總和達到59600萬美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Frontdoor is worth US$2.69b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

這個虧損並沒有那麼糟糕,因爲Frontdoor價值2.69億美元,因此如果需要,可能可以籌集足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。然而,仔細觀察其償還債務的能力仍是值得的。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要的比率來衡量債務水平與收益的關係。一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),另一個是它的利息費用與利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)相比的倍數(或其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對量以及所支付的利率。

Frontdoor has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.65. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Frontdoor has boosted its EBIT by 56%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Frontdoor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Frontdoor的淨債務/EBITDA比率很低,僅爲0.65。而且其EBIt輕鬆覆蓋了其利息支出,是其12.8倍。因此,你可以認爲它對債務的威脅不比大象受到老鼠的威脅。此外,我們很高興報告說,Frontdoor提高了其EBIT56%,從而減少了未來的債務償還風險。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的出發點。但決定Frontdoor能否持有資產負債表也主要取決於未來的盈利能力。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看此免費報告以了解分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Frontdoor produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,一家公司只能用硬通貨現金來償還債務,而不能用會計利潤。因此,我們始終檢查EBIt中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,Frontdoor產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其EBIT的66%,這與我們的預期相當。當適當時,這些自由現金流使公司處於良好的償還債務的位置。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Frontdoor's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Frontdoor's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Frontdoor , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

令人高興的是,Frontdoor令人印象深刻的利息覆蓋率意味着它在債務上具有上風。好消息不止於此,其EBIt的增長率也支持這種印象!從更大的角度來看,我們認爲Frontdoor使用債務似乎相當合理,我們並不擔心。雖然債務確實帶來風險,但明智使用債務時,它也可以帶來更高的股東回報率。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到大部分與債務有關的信息。然而,投資風險並不都在資產負債表中,還遠遠不夠。我們已經確定了與Frontdoor有關的1個警告信號,並理解它們應該是您的投資過程中的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論