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US Services Sector Activity Experiences Largest Contraction In Over 4 Years: Gold Rallies, Dollar Tumbles As Traders Raise Rate Cut Bets

US Services Sector Activity Experiences Largest Contraction In Over 4 Years: Gold Rallies, Dollar Tumbles As Traders Raise Rate Cut Bets

美國服務業活動經歷4年來最大萎縮:黃金上漲,美元下跌,交易員加大了降息賭注。
Benzinga ·  07/03 22:35

Business sentiment in the U.S. services sector plummeted in June, missing economic estimates by a wide margin and indicating that the pace of economic growth slowed down markedly at the end of last quarter.

美國服務業商業信心在6月份急劇下滑,大幅低於經濟預期,表明上個季度末經濟增長的速度顯著放緩。

The Purchasing Managers' Index for the services sector, as measured by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), marked the worst contraction since May 2020.

由物流管理協會(ISM)測量的服務業採購經理人指數是自2020年5月以來最糟糕的收縮情況。

June ISM Services PMI Report: Key Highlights

6月ISM服務業PMI報告:重點亮點

  • The ISM Services PMI fell from 53.8% to 48.8% in June, sharply below market expectations of 52.5% as monitored by Econoday.
  • The subindex for Business Activity fell from 61.2% to 49.6% in June.
  • The subindex for New Orders entered contraction after 17 straight months of expansion, falling from 54.1% in May to 47.3% in June. The outcome fell short of the 53.6% expected.
  • The subindex for Prices Paid eased from 58.1% to 56.3%, slightly below the predicted 56.7%, indicating a marginal improvement in price inputs paid by services providers.
  • The subindex for Employment contracted at a faster pace compared to May, falling from 47.1% to 46.1%, missing the expected 49%.
  • 6月份ISM服務業PMI從53.8%降至48.8%,遠低於經濟預期的52.5%,該預期由Econoday監測。
  • 商業活動的子指數從61.2%下降至49.6%。
  • 新訂單子指數經歷了連續17個月的擴張後進入了收縮階段,從5月的54.1%下降至6月的47.3%。這一結果低於預期的53.6%。
  • 價格支出子指數從58.1%降至56.3%,略低於預期的56.7%,表明服務提供商支付的價格成本略微有所改善。
  • 就業子指數的收縮速度相比5月份加快,從47.1%下降至46.1%,低於預期的49%。

Chart: Services Sector Activity Tumbles The Most Since May 2020

圖表:服務業活動自2020年5月以來最大跌幅

"The decrease in the composite index in June is a result of notably lower business activity, a contraction in new orders for the second time since May 2020 and continued contraction in employment." Steve Miller, chair of the ISM Services Business Survey Committee, said.

ISM服務業商業調查委員會主席史蒂夫·米勒(Steve Miller)表示:“6月份綜合指數的下降是商業活動明顯變差,自2020年5月以來新訂單第二次收縮,就業持續收縮的結果。”

Miller highlighted that survey respondents report flat or lower business conditions, and while price pressures are fading, "some commodities have significantly higher costs."

米勒指出,調查對象報告的是穩定或更低的商業狀況,儘管價格壓力正在消退,但是“一些商品的成本顯着增加”。

Respondents also indicated that the weaker supplier delivery performance is attribute to transportation challenges, and not to demand gains.

調查對象還指出,供應商交貨表現較弱是由於運輸方面的挑戰,而非需求增長所致。

Also read: Private Employers Add 150,000 Jobs In June, Less Than Expected: Job Growth 'Solid, But Not Broad-Based'

還閱讀:私營企業在6月份增加了15萬個工作崗位,低於預期:就業增長“堅實但不普遍”

Market Reactions: Stocks Hold Gains, Bond Yields Rise Again

市場反應:股票保持上漲,債券收益率再次上升

U.S. stocks inched higher in reaction to the bleak ISM Services PMI report, bond yields fell markedly, and the dollar weakened as traders raised their wagers on upcoming Fed interest rate cuts.

受到灰暗的ISM服務業PMI報告的影響,美國股市微漲,債券收益率顯著下降,美元走弱,交易員加大對即將到來的聯儲局降息的賭注。

  • The S&P 500 Index, as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), was 0.2% higher at 10:15 a.m. in New York.
  • The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) rose by 0.2%.
  • The blue-chip SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA) was flat.
  • Long-dated Treasury yields saw sharp declines, with the 30-year yield down by 9 basis points to 4.52%, pushing the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) up by 1.4%.
  • The U.S. dollar tumbled, with the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund (NYSE:UUP), down 0.5%.
  • Gold, as tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD), rallied 1.5%.
  • 標普500指數,由SPDR標普500 ETF信任(NYSE:SPY)跟蹤,紐約時間上午10:15上漲0.2%。
  • 科技股較重的納指100ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust(NASDAQ:QQQ)上漲了0.2%。
  • 以藍籌股爲主的道瓊斯工業平均ETF(NYSE:DIA)基本持平。
  • 長期國債收益率急劇下降,30年期債券收益率下降9個點子至4.52%,推動iShares 20+年期國庫債券ETF(NASDAQ:TLT)上漲1.4%。
  • 美元指數看漲基金(NYSE:UUP)下跌了0.5%。
  • SPDR Gold Trust(NYSE:GLD)跟蹤的黃金上漲了1.5%。
  • Goldman Sachs: 10 Reasons Why Stock Risks Rise In The Second Half Of 2024
  • 高盛:股票風險上升的10個原因(2024年下半年)

Photo: Shutterstock

Photo: shutterstock

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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