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Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Watsco, Inc.'s (NYSE:WSO) Stock?

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Watsco, Inc.'s (NYSE:WSO) Stock?

穩健的財務業績是否推動了紐交所Watsco公司股票的最近反彈?
Simply Wall St ·  07/03 19:08

Watsco's (NYSE:WSO) stock is up by a considerable 10% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Watsco's ROE.

Watsco(紐約證券交易所代碼:WSO)的股票在過去三個月中上漲了10%。鑑於從長遠來看,市場會獎勵強勁的財務狀況,我們想知道在這種情況下是否如此。在本文中,我們決定重點介紹Watsco的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Watsco is:

因此,根據上述公式,Watsco的投資回報率爲:

21% = US$608m ÷ US$2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

21% = 6.08億美元 ÷ 29億美元(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.21 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。這意味着,每獲得價值1美元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.21美元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤創造指標。我們現在需要評估公司爲未來增長再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Watsco's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

Watsco 的收益增長和 21% 的投資回報率

To start with, Watsco's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 17% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Watsco's significant 22% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

首先,Watsco的投資回報率看起來可以接受。尤其是與行業平均水平的17%相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。這可能爲Watsco在過去五年中實現22%的顯著淨收入增長奠定了基礎。但是,這種增長背後可能還有其他原因。例如,該公司的派息率較低或管理效率很高。

We then performed a comparison between Watsco's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 25% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們對Watsco的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,結果顯示該公司的增長與同期5年內25%的行業平均增長率相似。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:WSO Past Earnings Growth July 3rd 2024
紐約證券交易所:WSO 過去的收益增長 2024 年 7 月 3 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Watsco's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。如果你想知道Watsco的估值,可以看看這個衡量其市盈率與行業相比的指標。

Is Watsco Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Watsco 是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 63% (implying that it keeps only 37% of profits) for Watsco suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

Watsco三年來最高的派息率中位數爲63%(這意味着它僅保留了37%的利潤),這表明儘管該公司將大部分收益返還給了股東,但其增長並沒有真正受到阻礙。

Moreover, Watsco is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 72% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Watsco's future ROE will be 21% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

此外,Watsco決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其支付股息至少十年的悠久歷史中推斷出來的。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司預計將在未來三年內繼續支付約72%的利潤。因此,預測表明,Watsco未來的投資回報率將爲21%,與當前的投資回報率相似。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with Watsco's performance. Especially the high ROE, Which has contributed to the impressive growth seen in earnings. Despite the company reinvesting only a small portion of its profits, it still has managed to grow its earnings so that is appreciable. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們對Watsco的表現非常滿意。尤其是高投資回報率,這爲收益的驚人增長做出了貢獻。儘管該公司僅將利潤的一小部分再投資,但它仍然設法增加了收益,因此這是可觀的。話雖如此,正如分析師目前的估計所預測的那樣,該公司的收益增長預計將放緩。要了解有關公司未來收益增長預測的更多信息,請查看這份關於分析師預測的免費報告,以了解更多信息。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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