share_log

Is Reliance (NYSE:RS) A Risky Investment?

Is Reliance (NYSE:RS) A Risky Investment?

Reliance(紐交所:RS)是一項有風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  07/03 02:30

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Reliance, Inc. (NYSE:RS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,信實公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:RS)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Reliance Carry?

信實揹負了多少債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Reliance had US$1.14b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$934.9m in cash, and so its net debt is US$208.0m.

您可以點擊下圖以獲取更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,信實在2024年3月的債務爲11.4億美元;與前一年大致相同。但是,它也有9.349億美元的現金,因此其淨負債爲2.08億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:RS Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2024
紐約證券交易所:RS 債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 7 月 2 日

How Strong Is Reliance's Balance Sheet?

信實的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Reliance had liabilities of US$857.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.91b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$934.9m and US$1.69b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$148.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,信實的負債爲8.574億美元,12個月後到期的負債爲19.1億美元。另一方面,它有9.349億美元的現金和價值16.9億美元的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出1.486億美元。

Having regard to Reliance's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the US$16.4b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. But either way, Reliance has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考慮到信實的規模,其流動資產與總負債似乎很平衡。因此,這家價值164億美元的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。但是無論哪種方式,信實幾乎沒有淨負債,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Reliance's net debt is only 0.11 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 41.6 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In fact Reliance's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 30% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Reliance can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

信實的淨負債僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的0.11倍。而且其息稅前利潤很容易彌補其利息支出,是其規模的41.6倍。因此,我們對它超保守的債務使用相當放鬆。實際上,信實的儲蓄之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了30%。收益下降(如果這種趨勢持續下去)最終也可能使即使是微不足道的債務也相當危險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定信實能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Reliance produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,信實產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的55%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Reliance is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Reliance is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Reliance is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

根據我們所見,考慮到其息稅前利潤增長率,信實認爲這並不容易,但是我們考慮的其他因素使我們有理由感到樂觀。毫無疑問,它用息稅前利潤支付利息支出的能力非常閃爍。當我們考慮上述所有要素時,在我們看來,信實的債務管理得很好。但要謹慎一點:我們認爲債務水平足夠高,足以證明持續監測是合理的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,信實在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,其中一個讓我們有點不舒服...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論