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Earnings Are Growing at Columbus McKinnon (NASDAQ:CMCO) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects

Earnings Are Growing at Columbus McKinnon (NASDAQ:CMCO) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects

哥倫布-麥金農(納斯達克代碼:CMCO)的收益正在增長,但股東仍不喜歡它的前景。
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 20:01

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Columbus McKinnon Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCO) shareholders, since the share price is down 31% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 18%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 22% in the last 90 days.

對於很多投資者來說,選股的主要目的是創造比整個市場更高的回報。但幾乎可以肯定,有時候你會買到低於市場平均回報的股票。不幸的是,這已經是長揸Columbus McKinnon Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCO)股票的股東們面臨的情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了31%,遠低於市場收益率的18%左右。近期,股東們的處境甚至更加艱難,股價在過去90天中下跌了22%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,並且投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價的變化情況,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間變化而變化。

Although the share price is down over three years, Columbus McKinnon actually managed to grow EPS by 62% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

雖然股價在過去三年中下跌,但Columbus McKinnon在這段時間內每年成功使每股收益增長了62%。考慮到該股股價反應,有人可能懷疑,在這個時期內每股收益不是業務表現的好指標(也許是由於一次性損失或收益),或者是該公司在過去過於炒作,因此其增長不如預期。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一提的是,在三年的時間裏,營業收入實際上年增長了32%,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。很可能需要進一步調查中國儒意控股,因爲我們在分析中可能會漏掉一些內容,而這也可能是一個機會。

With a rather small yield of just 0.8% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 12% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Columbus McKinnon more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

考慮到該股僅有0.8%的股息率,我們懷疑該股價並非基於其股息。股票營收在過去三年中實際上增長了12%,因此股價下跌似乎也與營業收入無關。這種分析只是例行公事,但深入研究Columbus McKinnon可能很值得,因爲有時候股票價格下跌是不公平的,這可能會帶來機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:CMCO Earnings and Revenue Growth July 2nd 2024
納斯達克:CMCO 2024年7月2日盈利和收入增長

It is of course excellent to see how Columbus McKinnon has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Columbus McKinnon's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

看到Columbus McKinnon多年來增長利潤的情況當然很令人興奮,但未來對於股東來說更加重要。如果你想進一步調查該股票,Columbus McKinnon資產負債表強度的這份免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Columbus McKinnon shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 23%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Columbus McKinnon better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Columbus McKinnon , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

即使包括股息在內,Columbus McKinnon的股東今年下跌了18%,但市場本身上漲了23%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時候也會在12個月的時間內表現不如市場。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去半個十年的平均虧損3%還要糟糕。總體而言,長期的股價疲軟可能是一個不好的標誌,儘管反其道而行之的投資者可能希望研究該股票以期扭轉局面。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的,但要更好地理解Columbus McKinnon,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,投資風險這一永恒的威脅。我們已經發現Columbus McKinnon存在1個警告信號,理解它們應該成爲你的投資過程的一部分。

But note: Columbus McKinnon may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:Columbus McKinnon可能不是購買的最佳股票。因此,請查看這個免費的有趣公司列表,其中包括過去的收益和進一步的增長預測。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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