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Is Comfort Systems USA (NYSE:FIX) A Risky Investment?

Is Comfort Systems USA (NYSE:FIX) A Risky Investment?

美國舒適系統(紐交所:FIX)是否是一項風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/28 18:38

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

戴維·伊本說得好:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。 我們關心的是避免永久損失資本。” 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它使用債務的情況,因爲債務超載可能會導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,美國舒適系統公司(NYSE:FIX)也使用債務。 但是股東們是否應該擔心它如何使用債務?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有在公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自身的現金流。最終,如果公司不能履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一文不值。雖然這不是太常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司因貸款人迫使它們以破產價提高資本而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,並沒有產生任何負面後果。考慮一個企業使用多少債務時的第一件事是查看其現金和債務總額。

How Much Debt Does Comfort Systems USA Carry?

美國舒適系統有多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Comfort Systems USA had US$89.9m of debt in March 2024, down from US$209.2m, one year before. But it also has US$100.8m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$10.9m net cash.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示美國舒適系統在2024年3月擁有89.9美元的債務,降至一年前的209.2億美元。但它還有1.008億美元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它擁有10.9億美元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:FIX Debt to Equity History June 28th 2024
紐交所:FIX的債務股權歷史記錄2024年6月28日

How Healthy Is Comfort Systems USA's Balance Sheet?

美國舒適系統的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Comfort Systems USA had liabilities of US$2.14b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$390.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$100.8m as well as receivables valued at US$1.81b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$615.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

從最近的資產負債表中我們可以看到,美國舒適系統有21.4億美元的負債在一年內到期,390.6百萬美元的負債超過了這個期限。爲了抵消這些義務,它持有1.008億美元的現金以及估值爲1.81億美元的應於12個月內到期的應收款項。因此,其負債總計比現金和短期應收款項多615.7百萬美元。

Of course, Comfort Systems USA has a titanic market capitalization of US$11.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Comfort Systems USA also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

當然,美國舒適系統的市值巨大,達到112億美元,因此這些負債可能是可管理的。但是,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而改變。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但美國舒適系統的現金比債務多,因此我們相當有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。

On top of that, Comfort Systems USA grew its EBIT by 74% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Comfort Systems USA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,美國舒適系統在過去的十二個月中將其息稅前利潤(EBIT)提高了74%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,如果您關注未來,您可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Comfort Systems USA may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Comfort Systems USA actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,儘管稅務系統可能欽佩會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。儘管美國舒適系統在資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力還是很有趣的,因爲這將影響它管理負債的需求和能力。在過去的三年中,美國舒適系統實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIT更多。這種強大的現金轉換類型讓我們像在Daft Punk音樂會上聽到節拍一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總之

We could understand if investors are concerned about Comfort Systems USA's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$10.9m. The cherry on top was that in converted 104% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$556m. So we don't think Comfort Systems USA's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Comfort Systems USA , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們可以理解如果投資者關注美國舒適系統的負債,但我們可以通過它擁有10.9百萬美元的淨現金來得到安慰。此外,它還將其EBIT的104%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了5.56億美元的收入。因此,我們認爲美國舒適系統使用債務並不冒險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每個公司都可能承含存在資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經確定了美國舒適系統的一個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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