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Investing in Walker & Dunlop (NYSE:WD) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 93% Gain

Investing in Walker & Dunlop (NYSE:WD) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 93% Gain

如果5年前投資沃克與鄧洛普(紐交所:WD),你的收益將高達93%。
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 18:34

If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (NYSE:WD) share price is up 71% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 19%.

如果你購買並持有一隻股票多年,你希望獲得利潤。更好的是,你希望看到股價上漲超過市場平均水平。不幸的是,對於股東來說,沃克與鄧洛普公司(NYSE: WD)的股價在過去五年中上漲71%,但這低於市場回報。僅看過去一年,該股票上漲了19%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然有效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但被證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是看一個公司的股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的交互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Walker & Dunlop actually saw its EPS drop 13% per year.

在五年的股價增長期間,沃克與鄧洛普的每股收益實際上每年下降了13%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

實際上,投資者似乎並沒有關注EPS。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。

On the other hand, Walker & Dunlop's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 7.6% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

另一方面,沃克與鄧洛普的營業收入以7.6%的複合增長率穩步增長,最近五年。在這種情況下,該公司可能犧牲了當前每股收益來推動增長。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:WD Earnings and Revenue Growth June 27th 2024
紐交所: WD收益和營收增長 2024年6月27日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在這個免費的互動圖表中看到它的資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Walker & Dunlop's TSR for the last 5 years was 93%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣的資本籌集或拆分的利益。可以說,TSR爲股票產生的回報提供了更全面的圖片。碰巧的是,沃克與鄧洛普過去5年的TSR爲93%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Walker & Dunlop provided a TSR of 22% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 14% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Walker & Dunlop that you should be aware of.

沃克與鄧洛普在過去12個月內提供了22%的TSR。但該回報低於市場。好消息是,這仍然是收益,而且實際上比過去五年的平均收益率14%要好。隨着業務基本面的改善,回報可能會提高。雖然考慮市場狀況可能對股價產生不同的影響非常值得,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們已經確定了沃克與鄧洛普的4個警告信號,你應該注意。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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