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Is Ziff Davis (NASDAQ:ZD) A Risky Investment?

Is Ziff Davis (NASDAQ:ZD) A Risky Investment?

Ziff Davis(納斯達克:ZD)是一項有風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 20:30

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ziff Davis, Inc. (NASDAQ:ZD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

正如David Iben所說的那樣,“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久損失。”所以當你考慮一個股票的風險時,需要考慮其負債情況,因爲過多的負債可能會拖垮一家公司。我們注意到,Ziff Davis, Inc.(納斯達克:ZD)負債表上確實有負債。但更重要的問題是:這些負債產生了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以合理價格籌集資本來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債才會有風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以接管企業。然而,一個更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低價募集新的股權資本,從而持續稀釋股東權益。當然,負債的優點在於其往往代表着廉價的資本,尤其是當它替代具有高回報率再投資能力的公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮負債水平時,我們首先考慮現金和負債水平的總和。

What Is Ziff Davis's Net Debt?

Ziff Davis的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ziff Davis had US$1.00b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$751.2m in cash, and so its net debt is US$250.7m.

下面的圖表顯示,Ziff Davis在2024年3月有10億美元的債務,與前一年大致相同。但是,它也有7.512億美元的現金,因此其淨債務爲2.507億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ZD Debt to Equity History June 12th 2024
NasdaqGS:ZD的資產負債歷史記錄 2024年6月12日

How Strong Is Ziff Davis' Balance Sheet?

Ziff Davis的資產負債表數據顯示,Ziff Davis有6.633億美元的負債在一年內到期,有11.6億美元的負債在到期後到期。抵消這些義務,它有7.512億美元的現金,以及在12個月內到期的應收賬款總價值爲4.469億美元。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款合計多6.27億美元。

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ziff Davis had liabilities of US$663.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.16b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$751.2m as well as receivables valued at US$446.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$627.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Ziff Davis的市值爲26億美元,因此如果需要,它可能非常容易籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。然而,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。

Ziff Davis has a market capitalization of US$2.60b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

Ziff Davis的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.58倍。而且其EBIT覆蓋其利息支出多達11.5倍。因此,我們對其極度保守的債務使用非常放鬆。但另一方面,Ziff Davis的EBIT在過去一年內下降了9.4%。如果收益繼續以這個速度下降,公司可能越來越難以管理其負債負擔。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了大部分關於負債的信息。但是,最終企業未來的盈利能力將決定Ziff Davis是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

Ziff Davis's net debt is only 0.58 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.5 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the other side of the story is that Ziff Davis saw its EBIT decline by 9.4% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ziff Davis can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤無法應對。因此,值得檢查多少EBIT得到了自由現金流的支持。在過去的三年中,Ziff Davis實際上生產的自由現金流高於EBIT。這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們像Daft Punk音樂會上的群衆一樣感到興奮。令人高興的是,Ziff Davis出色的EBIT轉換爲自由現金流,意味着它在債務上具有優勢。但說實話,我們認爲其EBIT增長率會削弱這種印象。綜合考慮所有這些因素,似乎Ziff Davis可以舒適地處理其當前的債務水平。在積極方面,這種槓桿作用可以增加股東回報,但潛在的缺陷是更多的損失風險,因此值得監控資產負債表。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了大部分關於負債的信息。但是,最終,每個公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。案例證明:我們發現Ziff Davis存在1個警告信號,您應該注意。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Ziff Davis actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤無法應對。因此,值得檢查多少EBIT得到了自由現金流的支持。在過去的三年中,Ziff Davis實際上生產的自由現金流高於EBIT。這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們像Daft Punk音樂會上的群衆一樣感到興奮。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Ziff Davis's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Ziff Davis can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Ziff Davis you should be aware of.

可喜的是,Ziff Davis出色的EBIT轉換爲自由現金流意味着它在債務方面具有上風。但是,實話說,我們認爲其EBIT增長率有點削弱了這種印象。考慮到所有這些事情,似乎Ziff Davis可以輕鬆處理其當前的債務水平。積極方面是,這種槓桿作用可以提高股東回報,但潛在缺陷是更多的損失風險,因此值得監控資產負債表。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了大部分關於負債的信息。但是,最終,每個公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。案例證明:我們發現Ziff Davis存在1個警告信號,您應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時更容易關注那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費查看零淨債務增長股票列表,立即獲得。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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