Traders Brace For Major Swing In Nvidia Stock Ahead Of Earnings Report: '...Expect Up Moves To Be As Violent As Down Moves'
Traders Brace For Major Swing In Nvidia Stock Ahead Of Earnings Report: '...Expect Up Moves To Be As Violent As Down Moves'
Ahead of Nvidia's (NASDAQ:NVDA) upcoming earnings report, traders are gearing up for a significant shift in the company's stock price.
在英偉達（納斯達克股票代碼：NVDA）即將發佈業績之前，交易員正在爲公司股價的重大變動做準備。
What Happened: Traders are bracing for a significant shift in Nvidia shares following the company's earnings report on Wednesday, Reuters reported on Tuesday.
發生了什麼：路透社週二報道，繼英偉達週三發佈業績後，交易員們正準備迎接英偉達股價的重大轉變。
Options markets in the U.S. indicate an expected 8.7% swing in Nvidia's stock by Friday, as per data from Trade Alert. This move could equate to a market cap fluctuation of $200 billion, surpassing the market cap of about 90% of S&P 500 companies.
根據Trade Alert的數據，美國期權市場顯示，預計到週五，英偉達的股票將波動8.7％。此舉可能相當於市值波動2000億美元，超過標準普爾500指數公司約90％的市值。
Despite this, the anticipated volatility is less than the 16.4% jump seen after Nvidia's last quarterly earnings report and lower than the average 12% move priced over the past eight quarters.
儘管如此，預期的波動率低於Nvidia發佈上次季度業績後的16.4％的漲幅，也低於過去八個季度的平均12％漲幅。
"Volatility and expectations had been a fair amount higher the last time around," said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivative strategy at Susquehanna Financial Group.
薩斯奎哈納金融集團衍生品策略聯席主管克里斯·墨菲表示：“上次波動性和預期大幅上升。”
Nvidia, which has surged approximately 87% this year, is a key player in the AI industry with a market value of around $2.3 trillion. Wall Street is optimistic about a strong quarterly report from the company. Investor interest has also extended to other sectors benefiting from AI advancements.
英偉達今年飆升了約87％，是人工智能行業的關鍵參與者，市值約爲2.3萬億美元。華爾街對該公司強勁的季度報告持樂觀態度。投資者的興趣也擴展到了受益於人工智能進步的其他行業。
BofA strategists, including Gonzalo Asis, noted that AI benefits are expanding to power, commodities, and utilities. They expect Nvidia to contribute 9% of the S&P 500 earnings growth over the next year, compared to 37% in the past year.
包括貢薩洛·阿西斯在內的美銀策略師指出，人工智能的好處正在擴大到電力、大宗商品和公用事業。他們預計，英偉達明年將貢獻標準普爾500指數收益增長的9％，而去年同期爲37％。
Matt Amberson, founder of ORATS, highlighted that implied volatility for out-of-the-money calls and puts is roughly equal, indicating traders are not dismissing the potential for further stock gains.
ORATS創始人馬特·安伯森強調，價外看漲期權和看跌期權的隱含波動率大致相等，這表明交易者並未否認股票進一步上漲的可能性。
"Traders expect up moves to be as violent as down moves," Amberson stated.
安伯森表示：“交易員預計，上漲走勢將與下跌一樣劇烈。”
Nvidia is projected to report earnings of $5.59 per share and a rise in quarterly revenue to $24.65 billion from $7.19 billion a year ago, according to LSEG data. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, mentioned that a downturn in Nvidia could challenge investor confidence in the broader AI market.
根據LSEG的數據，英偉達預計將公佈每股收益5.59美元，季度收入將從去年同期的71.9億美元增至246.5億美元。盈透證券首席策略師史蒂夫·索斯尼克提到，英偉達的低迷可能會挑戰投資者對更廣泛的人工智能市場的信心。
"There is a lot riding on the AI trade," Sosnick said.
索斯尼克說：“人工智能交易有很大的影響。”
Why It Matters: Nvidia's earnings report is highly anticipated, with analysts expecting strong results. Analysts predict Nvidia will report first-quarter revenue of $24.60 billion. This aligns closely with the LSEG data projections, underscoring the high expectations surrounding Nvidia's performance.
爲何重要：英偉達的收益報告備受期待，分析師預計業績強勁。分析師預測，英偉達將公佈第一季度收入246.0億美元。這與LSEG的數據預測非常吻合，凸顯了人們對Nvidia表現的高期望。
Additionally, Nvidia has been a focal point for analysts, with some predicting a potential rally of around 30%. This optimism reflects the broader market sentiment that Nvidia's advancements in AI technology could significantly impact its stock performance.
此外，英偉達一直是分析師的焦點，有人預測潛在的漲幅約爲30％。這種樂觀情緒反映了更廣泛的市場情緒，即英偉達在人工智能技術方面的進步可能會嚴重影響其股票表現。
Image via Shutterstock
圖片來自 Shutterstock
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。