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Is DHT Holdings (NYSE:DHT) A Risky Investment?

Is DHT Holdings (NYSE:DHT) A Risky Investment?

DHT Holdings(纽约证券交易所代码:DHT)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 20:54

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that DHT Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DHT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,DHT Holdings, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:DHT)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is DHT Holdings's Net Debt?

DHT Holdings的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 DHT Holdings had US$428.7m of debt, an increase on US$396.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$74.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$354.0m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年12月,DHT Holdings在一年内有4.287亿美元的债务,比3.967亿美元有所增加。另一方面,它拥有7,470万美元的现金,净负债约为3.54亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DHT Debt to Equity History May 10th 2024
纽约证券交易所:DHT 债务与股本的比率记录 2024 年 5 月 10 日

How Strong Is DHT Holdings' Balance Sheet?

DHT Holdings的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DHT Holdings had liabilities of US$56.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$404.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$74.7m and US$75.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$310.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,DHT Holdings在12个月内到期的负债为5,660万美元,之后到期的负债为4.04亿美元。另一方面,它有7,470万美元的现金和价值7,580万美元的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出3.1亿美元。

Given DHT Holdings has a market capitalization of US$1.95b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

鉴于DHT Holdings的市值为19.5亿美元,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

While DHT Holdings's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.6 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Even more impressive was the fact that DHT Holdings grew its EBIT by 160% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DHT Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

尽管DHT Holdings的低债务与息税折旧摊销前利润比率为1.2,这表明债务的使用量不大,但去年息税前利润仅涵盖了6.6倍的利息支出,这一事实确实让我们停顿了一下。但是,利息支付肯定足以让我们考虑其债务的负担能力。更令人印象深刻的是,DHT Holdings在十二个月内将其息税前利润增长了160%。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定DHT Holdings能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, DHT Holdings recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 90% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的两年中,DHT Holdings记录的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的90%,比我们通常预期的要强。如果需要的话,这有利于偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

DHT Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think DHT Holdings's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for DHT Holdings you should be aware of.

DHT Holdings将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,这表明它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员的比赛中进球一样轻松地处理债务。好消息不止于此,因为其息税前利润增长率也支持这种印象!从大局来看,我们认为DHT Holdings对债务的使用似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担心。毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提高股本回报率。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的DHT Holdings的1个警告信号。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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